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My Perfect Vision for Major League Soccer Expansion

MONTREAL- MAY 7:  (L-R) Provincial Official Raymond Bachand, Joey Saputo, MLS Commissioner Don Garber and City Official Richard Deschamps pose for a photo after announcing the MLS expansion to Montreal in 2012 at the eXcentris auditorium on May 7, 2010 in Montreal, Quebec, Canada.  (Photo by Richard Wolowicz/Getty Images for MLS)

Opinions, we've all got one. Even if some of us aren't quite as gung-ho about MLS as others, I'm sure there are more than a few of you who are now interested in the league since the Portland Timbers will be playing a major role in it for the foreseeable future. As such I feel like I should share my perfect vision for the league moving forward. What I would like to see happen, and how we can create a more authentic experience off the field.

Just note that, seeing as how this is an editorial piece, this is entirely subject to my own opinions and you, like everybody else, can and probably will disagree with those opinions. If you do disagree, I'd love to have a respectful discussion in the comments. Let's keep things polite, cordial and most of all fun. That's what discussions are for, right? If not, I'll tell your boss that instead of working you're reading my blog. Kidding, of course.

Major League Expansion

As of 2011 we'll officially have 18 teams in the league, the recommended amount for a first division league by FIFA's own standards. In 2012 we'll have 19 teams and in 2013 we'll more than likely have a 20th team lined up with the New York Cosmos generally being the most favored for that position. Once we reach 20 teams, it is my opinion that MLS should stop expanding, at least in it's current incarnation.

Star-divide

As somebody who is a fan of not only MLS, but also soccer in the world as a whole, I have trouble envisioning a 30-34 team league like we have with American football, baseball, basketball and hockey. The way we have it now, at 20 teams, a simple home-away for every other team would not be entirely impossible. 38 games/season would be pretty manageable in this day and age, especially, considering that overall, teams are doing much better in attendance than they were five years ago.

Were we to grow too far beyond that, however, we'd be forced into divisions like with American football where we'd only play our regional rivals (however MLS decides to break that up). Playing teams in he other "divisions" would only occur in the post-season play-off tournament. This is unheard of in modern soccer leagues around the world and I feel would play a divisive role in our fans. Believe it or not, many MLS fans today actually came from being fans of European soccer teams/leagues. We've slowly built that fanbase up by introducing more traditional soccer norms. Over expansion and further "Americanizing" MLS could drive a wedge in that fanbase once again.

MLS 2

Let's not beat around the bush. Major League Soccer, as it stands today, is fast becoming a viable, profitable organization. It's something that we couldn't have really said back in 2007 even and it's something that each fan of MLS should be proud of. We are making soccer a true success story in the United States and Canada.

Unfortunately, every great first division league needs a stable and solid second division league to back it up. That's something we don't have. Try as the NASL or USL might, the constant expansion and contraction of each of those leagues is a little embarrassing as neither can seem to find stable footing within our soccer pyramid.

Enter MLS. After team #20, it's my opinion that MLS should introduce an MLS 2 league to take over for the second division leagues which are, quite frankly, failing. MLS 2 would offer an alternative and bring in owners of established or new teams within the MLS single entity umbrella. Income from these teams would obviously be lower but then so would costs as teams in MLS2 would not be expected to splurge on players or grandiose stadiums.

Creating this would also give MLS the power to expand into untapped markets, like the South, but with far less risk involved than establishing a MLS 1 team.

The creation would not be smooth, as Americans and Canadians would probably still be hesitant to buy into a supposedly inferior league as opposed to watching MLS, however, given that the team is using MLS's name and reputation that comes with it a certain amount of legitimacy not found within USL or the NASL.

Additionally, securing local and regional television deals for MLS 2 teams would be easier given the reputation MLS has. Sure, national TV deals would be rare, if ever, but securing even stable local TV deals would bring in additional cash flow for MLS 2 teams. More TV deals means more sponsorships. More sponsorships means a better team/stadium. It's a nice trickle-down effect.

And that leads me right into...

Promotion/Relegation

Hot button issue! I've heard more arguments and discussions on promotion/relegation in MLS than any other topic ever concerning our league. It's a huge point of contention between soccer purists and soccer realists who disagree about its effectiveness in a league like MLS. Both have strong points, to be honest and I usually prefer to stay on the sidelines of such an argument. However, for the sake of my perfect vision, I'd like to include it.

Given my series of events in establishing an MLS 2 league I believe that promotion/relegation could become feasible far sooner than our current system. Perhaps not right away after establishing MLS 2, but given time.

Let's look at the facts:

Many promotion/relegation opponents often cite that, being a single entity, owners in MLS would absolutely not allow any sort of system to take place. Makes sense, after all, as being relegated would mean a severe drop in profitability, particularly because getting into MLS in the first place required anywhere from a $10 million to $40 million fee.

However, given that MLS is a single entity, one would assume that MLS 2 would simply be absorbed into that single entity. Essentially meaning that all owners own a share of the league no matter if they are in MLS 1 or MLS 2 thus removing the profitability obstacle.

Yes, an MLS 2 team would earn less than an MLS 1 team, but since all profits flow into MLS before being divided up anyway it wouldn't really matter to that specific owner. Instead they could continue to focus on building their team in order to get promoted back into MLS 1.

This is also banking on the fact that having promotion and relegation is popular enough to draw enough fans that, even if MLS 2 isn't profitable by itself, the increased fans watching the promotion/relegation battles would be popular enough to justify keeping it around. This is, of course, its own argument.

There are other reasons to argue back and forth about promotion and relegation, of course, even beyond the profitability argument. However, this system would at least neuter the most important one.

--

So there you have it: my ideal MLS expansion vision. I would hate to see our league be broken down into divisions where we only play our regional rivals outside of the play-offs. I also believe that as a nation we need a strong and healthy second division soccer league to keep the momentum going for the sport in this nation. Without MLS I simply don't see the latter happening, at least not in my lifetime.

What do you think MLS should do regarding expansion? Sound off in the comments!

Comment 33 comments  |  3 recs  | 

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Your vision and mine align

I really have nothing more to say.

"I have something 95 percent of all those All-Stars only wish they had: a World Series ring. If I had to choose between that and being an All-Star, it would be no contest. I’d grab the gold ring and never look back." -Tim Salmon

by BruinHalo on Mar 10, 2011 2:04 PM PST reply actions  

Why not a different approach?

Rather than a single season can get you relegated, develop some metric where if you fall below the threshold for being in MLS you get dropped to MLS 2. Then, and only then, will a team with the highest calculated score get promoted. Unfortunately this means that MLS 2 teams do not get out of MLS 2 purgatory immediately, but they also don’t fall down quickly either.

I’m thinking it will have to be something around an average of 3rd worst team or worse for three years to be subjected to relegation.

Or, have a mini-tournament between the MLS 2 best and MLS 1 worst. All the marbles in one match.

Maybe use an Olympic average. Highest and worst seasons dropped over the last five years, if your average is still 3rd worst place over that period you are relegated. Currently that seems like an impossibility in MLS history.

Jag kom, jag såg, erövrade jag.

by Kejsare on Mar 10, 2011 2:04 PM PST reply actions  

I would prefer

A home and away for the bottom team and the top team. They do this in the Scottish Leagues I believe.

Contributing editor to Stumptown Footy the Portland Timbers SBN blog.

by Ryan Gates on Mar 10, 2011 2:15 PM PST up reply actions  

First, spell check works wonders... lol

Now that the humor is done…

Second, I’m not sure how well the US fanbase would handle relegation/promotion. This idea is foreign to most people who follow sports here (c’mon, would the Buffalo Bills, Cleveland Browns, or the LA Clippers really still be in their respective top leagues? HELL NO!).

Not saying it wouldn’t work, but it would be hard to convince our national sports fanbase of the changes on a yearly basis…

Blazers win!

by The X-man on Mar 10, 2011 3:01 PM PST reply actions  

There's no way promotion and relegation can happen within the next 10 to 15 years without fracturing the league.

The league has to make sure all of its major-market teams (and by those, I mean the teams it has now, for the most part) are successful. The easiest way to draw fans is through big cities, just on sheer numbers alone. Keep growing the brand now, and worry about that later. There’s not enough grassroots support for soccer in the United States for every Tom, Dick and Harrisburg to have a profitable top-tier team yet.

I write for Stumptown Footy, SB Nation's Portland Timbers blog.

by thehemogoblin on Mar 10, 2011 3:08 PM PST reply actions  

I like relegation/promotion,

especially with the MLS 2, but I don’t think it should be implimented for a long time. Because I think you need to give the MLS teams and especially the MLS 2 teams time to build a fanbase that wouldn’t be scared away by a relegation (not that there aren’t already fan bases like this in the MLS). they would just need to exist in most of the teams.

Mike Rice: "Camby nearly rejected that with his Armpit!"

Mike Barrett: "Now that would be a fragrant foul."

by TheNoPoFuzz on Mar 10, 2011 3:28 PM PST reply actions  

My exact opinion on the subject. I like the idea eventually, but its going to be quite a while before we should even consider implementing the system. A ton needs to happen in the meantime.

by pecorasc on Mar 10, 2011 3:37 PM PST up reply actions  

I like it too

But I just don’t see why the owners would ever agree to this – especially new owners like Paulson who have shelled out significant money for the expansion fee and stadium construction/renovation. Even long time owners who have absorbed substantial operating losses for years and years are not going to accept the risk of having a bad year dilute the value of their franchise. I hadn’t thought about the single-entity revenue sharing angle, which is intriguing, but I’m pretty sure owners don’t share all revenue. For example, I think owners only share a portion (if any) of things like jersey sponsorship deals, merchandise sales, concessions and stadium naming rights.

by bndwgn on Mar 10, 2011 4:21 PM PST up reply actions  

Great article, Quick thoughts

MLS 2 needs to happen for the reasons you stated. Completely agree. Also, I agree on holding at 20 teams at least until some other issues are taken care of. Promotion is some years away (see reply to TheNoPoFuzz).

Here is my perfect MLS 1 in the next 3-5 years:

DC gets a stadium
New England gets a stadium
Chivas moves to San Diego and gets a stadium
Montreal enters 2012
New York Cosmos enters 2013

by pecorasc on Mar 10, 2011 3:43 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

Oh, and overall profitability.

by pecorasc on Mar 10, 2011 3:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Cosmos are looking really murky now.

The Walpons are embroiled in bad money issues. They’re supposed to help build them a stadium. Without a stadium plan, MLS will not go there.

Jag kom, jag såg, erövrade jag.

by Kejsare on Mar 10, 2011 4:37 PM PST up reply actions  

Thats my perfect MLS situation, not what I think will happen. Garber is addressing that exact issue in his conference call right now.

by pecorasc on Mar 11, 2011 11:59 AM PST up reply actions  

One major hitch...

One of the motivations you list for a group to start an MLS2 team is that they won’t need an expensive SSS.

Yet what happens when they get promoted? If they don’t have an adequate stadium do they not really get promoted? Or does the star studded Galaxy play a game at Bremerton High School every year?

I think an MLS2 farm system would be much better.

by The Stoic on Mar 10, 2011 7:21 PM PST reply actions  

Some leagues

When situations like this happen, allow the team to find an adequate stadium. They often then end up going to a town nearby, and if they so chose eventually build a bigger stadium in time. So when the Kitsap Pumas get promoted they might end up playing at Qwest with the Sounders or Husky Stadium or something like that.

Scoreboards, not billboards.
Regular season, not pre-season.

by lysander on Mar 11, 2011 12:56 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't think you can just start pro/rel

Its something that needs to develop out of necessity, like it did elsewhere. When you have a backlog of 10-15-20 teams that are stable and solvent, all crying to get into MLS, you will have a real case for pro/rel.

Just arbitrarily creating a 2nd division and expecting it catch on because you slap the MLS brand on it is wishful thinking, IMO, especially in many of the small markets that currently exist in USL and NASL.

FWIW, I always thought the NBA would benefit greatly from a pro/rel format, and am quite surprised it never developed over time. But that is a topic for another blog post.

by B-Lot tailgater on Mar 10, 2011 7:45 PM PST reply actions  

Baseball is perfect

For Pro/Rel, can you imagine the ex-Portland Beavers moving on up at the expense of the Pirates or the Mariners (sorry pecorasc)

Contributing editor to Stumptown Footy the Portland Timbers SBN blog.

by Ryan Gates on Mar 10, 2011 9:09 PM PST up reply actions  

In theory you are right

But obviously farm systems prevent it.

by B-Lot tailgater on Mar 11, 2011 8:29 AM PST up reply actions  

Correct

It wouldn’t work unless they weren’t farm teams

Contributing editor to Stumptown Footy the Portland Timbers SBN blog.

by Ryan Gates on Mar 11, 2011 8:43 AM PST up reply actions  

Actually, College Football comes the closest

Barring the obvious problems (conferences compete in all sports, good old boy network controlling membership, schools not giving up TV revenues, etc,) college football works better, because like European soccer, each of the Division I schools are theoretically equal despite the cache of the power conferences. Imagine Boise St moving into the Pac-10 replacing last place Washington St or TCU replacing Baylor in the Big XII. None of this will ever happen, but the model works better than in the American professional sports leagues.

by yocoolz on Mar 12, 2011 11:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Interesting

That would be a cool way of doing it.

Contributing editor to Stumptown Footy the Portland Timbers SBN blog.

by Ryan Gates on Mar 13, 2011 12:56 AM PST up reply actions  

MLS 2 is important even without promotion/relegation. That’s Geoff’s point. It isn’t arbitrary. The whole idea is that we can finally have a stable 2nd division because we have a stable first division to help it along. The brand is only a small part.

by pecorasc on Mar 10, 2011 10:27 PM PST up reply actions  

I agree with that part

It might seem silly but having 3 different leagues lends to a lot of confusion among casual or new followers.

by B-Lot tailgater on Mar 11, 2011 8:28 AM PST up reply actions  

I assume you mean MLS, USL, NASL. It is confusing, especially since the pyramid changes every year.

by pecorasc on Mar 11, 2011 10:47 AM PST up reply actions  

Ya I like it

with the whole pro/rel thing it would make it more interesting for the non playoff teams in MLS1. You could take, say the top 4 teams in the MLS2 and have them do playoffs to determine the team that would play the bottom three in the MLS1 with winners of each game automatically staying and then the losers playing a home/home series or something and winner goes to MLS1, loser to MLS2…if that makes sense to anyone else but me…

A sky of blue, a sea of green...(or claret)

by kelliott1527 on Mar 11, 2011 10:37 AM PST reply actions  

The big problem with pro/rel is ....

……… by the time you have a viable 2nd division the top 10 MLS franchise values will be $300m to $500m. The Hunts, Krafts, Big Phil, Red Bull, the guys in Seattle, MLSE (who own TFC which is already worth $100m), Paulson etc will not even listen to pro/rel pitches.

Besides MLS already has promotion. Toronto, Seattle, Portland, and Vancouver have left the A-league and joined Major League Soccer. And Montreal is next.

by Gazza on Mar 12, 2011 6:49 PM PST reply actions  

We finally have it!

Great article. I’m just giddy that we finally have a real, and apparently stable, first class, European-style soccer league. And it has come before I’m in the old folks’ home!

by Arkansawyer on Mar 12, 2011 10:53 PM PST reply actions  

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