Draft Strategy: How Should the Timbers Approach the Superdraft? [Poll]
With the MLS Superdraft looming, I was curious about what the people here think the Timbers should do. Not so much about whether they should draft a specific player, but about how the team should approach the draft, and what strategy they should follow when acquiring young American talent.
The Timbers draft eighth in the draft this year, and as many people have noted are looking to make the leap into the playoffs and general Cup contention. While there will certainly be some more veteran related moves coming, the Draft is a great way to add young talent for a good price (great price, if you can get a Gen Adidas player). Unfortunately, the American youth system is still in a stage where it can't be counted on to produce large numbers of elite players, like it can in the NFL. There are diamonds in the rough (See Sapong and Bruin last year), but if the Timbers want an elite player, moving up is likely necessary. This is made even more desirable by the fact that these players will likely have Generation Adidas contracts that don't affect the Cap like normal contracts. In addition, while the Timbers are high on last year's second round pick, Chris Taylor, another player like him would do little to help the Timbers make the playoffs in a difficult Western Conference, at least not for a few years.
On the other hand, the Timbers remain a relatively thin team, especially on defense. Even a few injuries could expose the team, or at the very least force players who aren't ready to take on a more prominent role, which could have very negative effects on a team that now has a tougher road to the playoffs than last year, and hasn't acquired an instant starter yet (though Valencias could have a nice impact as the season wears on). Trading for more picks, either by trading down or sending allocation money, would help the Timbers acquire depth that would help safeguard them in the event of injury, and allow them to compete in other Cups, like the US Open Cup, without wearing their starters out. The downside to this strategy is the MLS Roster limit and cap, which makes it hard to stockpile players.
So, do you see the Timbers as one player away (perhaps an Andrew Wenger), who would be worth giving up something for? Or would you prefer the Timbers either stay put or acquire more picks, building for the future while relying on the current core to take them to the playoffs? Or is there a third strategy you think the Timbers should pursue?
Alright guys, I don't believe I have to say this but, just in case, please do not submit anything racist, homophobic, sexist or otherwise not appropriate for even the younger Timbers fans.
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Trade up or out
The guys at the top are pretty much locks to be solid contributors but after the first couple of picks there are enough question marks that I say either trade up or trade out and try and go for another big signing.
If we stay at 8 then we will get a guy that for sure won’t be game ready and even if he developed wouldn’t see the field for 2 years.
I disagree
It is possible to get a very good player with the 8th pick (for example, Clint Dempsey was picked 8th).
If you are looking for a guy who will make an immediate impact, almost all of the seniors should still be available at #8, so the chances of getting a player who can contribute right away are pretty high. Last year the players picked with the #9 (Jalil Anibaba), #10 (C. J. Sapong, who won the Rookie of the Year award), and #11 (Will Bruin) picks were all able to get a lot of playing time as rookies. So the facts don’t back up your assertion that we could not be get a player who would contribute for the first 2 years with the #8 pick.
by trk on Jan 4, 2012 7:18 PM PST up reply actions
Flawed logic
Saying that because Clint Dempsey was picked 8th is like saying you can wait till the 8th round to get a guy like Tom Brady again. You can always run through the drafts of each sport and find studs at every pick in every round. But average it out and the the studs are in the top few picks 90% of the time.
It is even more important in the MLS vs say the NFL because of the $$ issue-in most sports if you trade up it costs you what you trade away PLUS a higher salary for that player. With GA, that cost is mitigated, making it far more logical to trade up if you can and need to.
If they can't get Matt Hedges...
I’d say trade out and use whatever they get to splurge on a solid central defender.
RCTID - Stumptown Footy
Moderator of /r/MLS
Hedges would be a solid pick, especially given the need.
Do you think the Timbers should trade up to try and get him, or stay at eight and see what happens?
And thanks for bumping this.
Oklahoma State will beat LSU in the National Title game by more than 7 points.
It looks like Hedges should be there at 8
However if for some reason he is not I would trade down for some depth or out for even more depth at the defensive positions (or even another international slot)
Contributing editor to Stumptown Footy the Portland Timbers SBN blog.
Just depends on stuff we don't know yet.
I know I’m pooping the party, but the problem is we know we’re getting players, we just don’t know who or where they play.
Merritt did say that the focus is defense. I’d rather they got a right back (especially) and/or a left back and then take Hedges. But if we’re looking at CBs than I’d trade up or out.
volatilelyle.com
yep
not knowing the “plan” and where they are at in talks with other signings makes it tough to say what to do here.
"What and how much had I lost by trying to do only what was expected of me instead of what I myself had wished to do?"
— Ralph Ellison (Invisible Man)

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