I decided to add the median opponents rating, since the mean is
low for any team that has played DC United, who languish at the
bottom of the table. While New York sits at the top of the
Eastern Conference on points, they have played more games
against weaker opponents than Montreal.
A rating difference of 100 points corresponds (ignoring ties) to an estimated odds of 2:1 for the stronger team, 200 points to 4:1 odds, and 300 points to 8:1 odds. Add the 75 point home field advantage to the rating of the home team before computing the difference.
MLS Ratings as of May 27, 2013
Team | Rank | G | Won | Tied | Lost | Rating | SE | Opp Med | Opp.mean |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Montreal | 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1656 | 127 | 1511 | 1498 |
FC Dallas | 2 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1639 | 121 | 1521 | 1485 |
Portland | 3 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1617 | 115 | 1521 | 1508 |
New York | 4 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1560 | 117 | 1478 | 1480 |
Colorado | 5 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1547 | 117 | 1523 | 1501 |
LA Galaxy | 6 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1544 | 121 | 1517 | 1495 |
Seattle | 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1541 | 121 | 1523 | 1545 |
Houston | 8 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1525 | 119 | 1511 | 1471 |
Real Salt Lake | 9 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1523 | 118 | 1505 | 1491 |
New England | 10 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1521 | 119 | 1524 | 1514 |
Sporting KC | 11 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1511 | 118 | 1523 | 1473 |
Vancouver | 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1489 | 120 | 1523 | 1521 |
San Jose | 13 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1478 | 113 | 1541 | 1536 |
Philadelphia | 14 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1478 | 119 | 1521 | 1480 |
Columbus | 15 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1478 | 120 | 1478 | 1452 |
Chivas USA | 16 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1397 | 123 | 1523 | 1522 |
Toronto FC | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1368 | 120 | 1523 | 1536 |
Chicago | 18 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1363 | 128 | 1521 | 1516 |
D.C. United | 19 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1264 | 131 | 1524 | 1534 |