Probabilities of finishing in the top 5, based on a simulation (10000 trials) using current ratings. In the east, Columbus is almost out of the running, DC and Toronto are. In the west, Chivas is hopeless, while San Jose still has faint hopes. 5th place in the east looks like a three-way horse-race. In the west, it looks like the main question is who's in 4th and 5th.
|Sporting KC||.9995||Real Salt Lake||.978|
|New England||0.376||FC Dallas||.207|
|D.C. United||0.000||Chivas USA||0.000|
Based on the same simulation, the average final points. While the average points for Portland are slightly higher than for RSL, the standard deviation is larger, indicating greater uncertainty in the final total.
|Team||Avg Points||Team||Avg Points|
|Montreal||53.5||Real Salt Lake||54.3|
|Toronto FC||27.3||Chivas USA||29.2|