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Cascadia Cup 2013: The Potential Outcomes

What could happen in the remaining games of the 2013 Cascadia Cup?

Jaime Valdez-USA TODAY Sports

With the Timbers in playoff contention this year, the Cascadia Cup has not gotten the same hype as in 2011 or 2012. Now, with one month left in the season, the Portland Timbers, Vancouver Whitecaps, and Seattle Sounders will play three games over the course of one week to determine where the Cup will stay until next year.

Let's get this out of the way first: of the 27 possible results that could occur from Cascadia Cup play, only 2 of those end up with the Timbers keeping the cup. Vancouver end up with the cup in 8 of 27 possible scenarios. Seattle come away with the cup in the remaining 17 scenarios.

The Standings

Teams Points Games Played Wins Losses Ties Goals For Goals Against Goal Diffential
Seattle Sounders 7 4 2 1 1 5 5 0
Vancouver Whitecaps 5 4 1 1 2 7 6 +1
Portland Timbers 3 4 0 1 3 4 5


The Remaining Games

Portland Timbers at Vancouver Whitecaps

Sunday, October 6th, 5:00 pm

Vancouver Whitecaps at Seattle Sounders

Wednesday, October 9th, 7:00 pm

Seattle Sounders at Portland Timbers

Sunday, October 13th, 6:00 pm

Potential Outcomes

For the Timbers to keep the Cascadia Cup in Portland they need to win out in the competition. Not only that, but the Timbers need Vancouver to either beat or tie Seattle when they travel to Washington on Wednesday. Thanks to some lackluster results in Cascadia Cup play earlier this season, the Timbers are far from in control of their own destiny.

The Sounders, who have already claimed two wins in the competition this year, are the closest to being able to call the cup their own. A Seattle win on Wednesday secures the Cascadia Cup for the Sounders. Even a tie leaves the Sounders with a 2/3 chance of taking home the cup regardless of the outcomes on the Sundays before or after.