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Rose City Forecast 34: PTFC vs Vancouver

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MLS: Vancouver Whitecaps FC at Portland Timbers Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

After an entire season, welcome back to the last prediction thread for 2017. As mentioned previously, I like to just sit back and enjoy the playoffs, particularly because we never know just how many playoff games we’ll get. So this is your last chance to earn points!

Last week, everyone correctly predicted a win against DC United at home. Well done! To recap, the Timbers struggled a bit in the first half, finally breaking through when Darren Mattocks earned yet another PK (he’s helped Valeri get, what, 4 of 21 goals?) right before half time. Valeri took the spot kick and finished beautifully for his 21st goal of the season. PTFC left the locker room reinvigorated, and with the game state in their favor, they were able to punish DC with three beautiful goals. The first of those came from an unlikely place - Powell’s left foot after Valeri’s pass found him between the sideline and the 18. The next came from nearly the same spot, but this time it was Blanco finishing with his left after some lovely play between him and Valeri. Blanco also got the final goal of the match, after Jeremy Ebobisse made a hard-but-clean challenge to win the ball and gave it up to Blanco, who dribbled DC defenders left and right to get his brace. Of note, Valeri now has 21 goals and 11 assists on the season - only the second MLS player to cross the 20/10 mark ever. MVP!

UNOPrivateer had such a good week that they take home the prediction of the week and the most recommended prediction. UNO correctly called a Valeri spot kick goal and one of Blanco’s as well as getting the final 4-0 scoreline correct. For the recommended prediction, he suggested that those responsible for a previous ‘Porter Out’ sign would come back with a new one begging the coach not to take the USMNT opening if offered. I wonder if it’ll come to that.

Anyhow, the penultimate standings. It looks like STYLES34 really has wrapped up the first position, though the lead has been cut to 24 points. UNOPrivateer and MacVanek are racing each other for second. Good luck this week!

Standings Match 33

Participant Total Points Last Game
Participant Total Points Last Game
STYLES34 170 8
UNOprivateer 146 16
MacVanek 141 7
shrekpdx 126 0
Withdrawn Striker 126 12
GeorgeCorps17 125 9
Bosoxtjh18 121 0
Schmadam08 121 0
Z_thrilla 120 9
MindfulCyclist 111 4
landoid 110 9
RCTID26 109 10
richard.hamje 109 9
Timber DT 99 7
TNOTTS 98 0
MofoOG 97 9
Crafty_PDX 93 0
lefhanded49 90 5
Deschutes 87 0
my favorite axe 86 0
BarmyTarmy 80 13
4-5-2 75 0
jackwiddy 74 0
hoser!hoser! 71 0
Qoolio 71 0
Rhyanoceras 70 0
MrMoody 66 0
Independent_Cascadia 64 0
Weresquatch 64 0
straight red 63 0
Timbers Pride 59 7
deadjeff 57 0
JonMc 53 0
TheChooChooChin 47 0
afreborg 45 0
Hendrik Johannes 45 0
PGHTimber 45 0
PenguinChe 44 0
Z-Whiz 43 0
dhenrichs 41 0
Webfooter17 39 0
Timber Dave 38 0
product_placement 36 0
Put-Me-In-Coach 36 0
James Bondo 31 0
YoBergo 30 0

PTFC’s final match of the season is at home, and everything is on the line (except the Supporter’s Shield that Toronto locked up weeks ago). If they beat Vancouver, they take first in the west and win the Cascadia Cup. Lose or draw, though, and things aren’t so rosy. Vancouver would take the west, and Seattle would take Cascadia. It’d be a real shame to give those up to our two rivals, so the Timbers had best win, don’t you think? The question is, will they?

Over/under: 4.5 total cards

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most recommended/most outrageously accurate prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (e.g., if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination you get a total of three points - 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores assisted by Adi and Adi scores assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction - 1 goal, 1 assist)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK. Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as a FK, and a FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

Most weeks, I will reward the most recommended prediction with the 2 points. However, if someone predicts that Caleb will bring a towel to dry off Seattle’s field, and he does, they’ll probably get those two points, regardless of whether they got the recs. We’ll also be testing this out, because I want to be careful that this doesn’t end up favoring the first few people to post their prediction. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.

Format:

In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners, eg: 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person.

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: no points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.)

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction.

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry Nagbe for the first time in three years, he kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.

As always, any questions about anything?