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Rose City Forecast Six - Philadelphia vs. PTFC

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MLS: Philadelphia Union at Portland Timbers Jaime Valdez-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome back to the forecast!

Talk about draws that feel like losses. For the second week in a row, the Timbers gave up a goal after the 80th minute to drop points, this time at home. The stunning Valeri volley on a poor Revs clearance put the Timbers up early, but the boys in green weren’t able to finish numerous chances through the rest of the game. That came back to bite them when Miller cleared the ball directly to a Revs player and Gleeson spilled a reaction save for Nguyen to put in an empty net.

As with any week when the Timbers fail to win at home, this week was pretty low scoring in the Forecast. Aided by FIFA 2017, 4-5-2 was the only one to get the score correct, and so takes the accurate prediction of the week. PGHTimber got the most recs with 3 for suggesting that Kei Kamara would celebrate too hard in front of the TA, and in return Timber Joey would remove his top-knot with a chainsaw. If only!

Onto the standings. If I messed up my math, let me know!

Standings Week Five

Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Z_thrilla 36 1
Bosoxtjh18 33 1
Schmadam08 33 2
richard.hamje 31 1
STYLES34 31 2
Crafty_PDX 30 1
Independent_Cascadia 30 2
MacVanek 30 1
YoBergo 30 1
Hendrik Johannes 29 4
JohnMc 28 1
PGHTimber 28 3
Qoolio 28 1
dhenrichs 26 2
Put-Me-In-Coach 26 2
RCTID26 26 0
Timber Dave 26 2
hoser!hoser! 25 0
Rhyanoceras 25 2
TigardTimber 25 0
Z-Whiz 25 2
GeorgeCorps17 24 1
MrMoody 24 3
UNOprivateer 24 1
shrekpdx 23 1
TheChooChooChin 23 1
Weresquatch 23 0
Withdrawn Striker 23 1
afreborg 22 0
MindfulCyclist 22 1
Timber DT 22 0
TNOTTS 22 1
Webfooter17 22 3
BarmyTarmy 21 0
MofoOG 21 2
shenanigans 21 6
4-5-2 18 10
irisblue32 17 2
landoid 17 1
deadjeff 16 1
Tfetters 16 0
lefhanded49 15 0
PenguinChe 15 3
RCTIDnomatterwhat 15 1
product_placement 14 1
my favorite axe 13 0
mschofer 12 1
Hailfire97 10 0
pdxsoccerdad 9 0
Walrus_Kasra 9 1
Andrew Collins 8 0
biggieswc 8 0
Foggy4 8 0
hobbesoftheeast 8 0
lcpdx 8 0
LU_PDX 8 0
Deschutes 7 0
Hand Ride 7 0
Ibowyer 7 0
Kaatmandu 7 0
KarlRadekBonk 7 0
living 7 0
YoYoBananas 7 0
CubanDaywalker 6 0
straight red 6 3
Timbersox 6 0
Timber TKO 6 0
James Bondo 5 3
ScottyRiley 5 0
Jjwalker16 4 0
Ballast 3 0
BlazerTucker 3 0
JoeyinTimberland 3 3
picknroll222 1 1

This week, the Timbers are traveling back across the continent to play in Philadelphia, a team that has yet to win in 2017. They’ve played only one home game, which finished as a draw. Seeing the Timbers’ slump after the hot start, the Union have to be itching to get that first win in front of their fans. On the other side PTFC will surely be looking to find their winning form that they started with. Will they recover, and get 6/9 points from their first 2017 road games?

Over/under: 4.5 total cards

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most recommended/most outrageously accurate prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. Though I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (e.g., if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination you get a total of three points - 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores assisted by Adi and Adi scores assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction - 1 goal, 1 assist)

New - Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK. Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as a FK, and a FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

New - Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

New - You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

Most weeks, I will reward the most recommended prediction with the 2 points. However, if someone predicts that Caleb will bring a towel to dry off Seattle’s field, and he does, they’ll probably get those two points, regardless of whether they got the recs. We’ll also be testing this out, because I want to be careful that this doesn’t end up favoring the first few people to post their prediction. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.

Format:

In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners, eg: 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person.

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: no points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.)

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction.

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry Nagbe for the first time in three years, he kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.

As always, any questions about anything?