clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

SFPI MLS Power Rankings Week 11

New, 3 comments

A new #1 with a new record high score tops this weeks edition

MLS: Minnesota United FC at Toronto FC Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

We are now about 1/3rd of the way through the 2017 MLS regular season after week 11, and this league remains as crazy as ever. Three of the bottom five teams won, two of them on the road no less. There is a new team atop the rankings with a record high score to boot. The Biggest Winner this week is Philadelphia jumping 5 spots following their second straight blowout win. The Biggest Loser is New York Red Bulls, falling 6 spots following their first home loss.

Components of SFPI

PPG SCORE: This is the largest component of the SFPI. Take a teams overall Points Per Game and add it to their Points Per Game over their last 5 matches, with Last 5 being given more weight.

GOAL DIFFERENCE PER GAME: Teams overall Goal Difference divided by games played.

HOME/AWAY BONUS: Bonus points awarded for earning results on the road (W/D) and taken away for dropping results at home (D/L). Accrues over entire season.

PERFORMANCE SCORE: The above components are added together to make a teams Performance Score.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE: The average Performance Score of all of a teams opponents thus far, weighted at less than 100%.

TOTAL SCORE: Performance Score and Strength of Schedule are added together to create Total Score. Teams are then ranked in order from highest to lowest total scores. There is no theoretical minimum or maximum scores, and until this week the highest score a team had achieved was just over 10 points. Negative Scores, while very rare, are also possible, however they require an extended period of extremely poor play.

(all times pacific)

1 TORONTO FC (25pts 7W-1L-4D) SCORE: 11.7563 PREV: 2 (+1) H1/L10

LAST WEEK: W 2-1 at Columbus, W 3-2 vs Minnesota

In the last 24 days, Toronto FC has played 6 games (that's averaging one every 4 days) and they have won every single one of them to set a new SFPI high score. They have one more on Friday this week to bring to 7 in 28 days (still one every 4 average). Unfortunately it has come at a cost, as Giovinco will miss the next 3 weeks with a strained quad, and Nick Hagglund will be out for at least 2 months with a torn MCL. At this point, Toronto has all but secured a spot in the playoffs with 25 points through 12 matches, if they average only 1 point per game over their remaining 22 matches they will finish with 47 points. If they had finished with 47 points in 2016 they would have still finished 3rd in the east.

NEXT WEEK: at (17) New York Red Bulls Friday 5/19 430pm

2 FC DALLAS (19pts 5W-0L-4D) SCORE: 9.1099 PREV: 1 (-1) H1/L2

LAST WEEK: D 1-1 vs NYCFC

On the plus side Dallas remains the lone unbeaten team in MLS. Downside though, is that they are starting to show cracks as they have drawn their last two home matches, and only won twice in their last five. Fortunately though is that the next 6 matches are all ones that are winnable with home games against San Jose, RSL, and Houston along with road games at Chicago, Portland, and Vancouver.

NEXT WEEK: vs (10) San Jose Earthquakes Saturday 5/20 5pm

3 NEW YORK CITY FC (17pts 5W-3L-2D) SCORE: 8.3205 PREV: 4 (+1) H3/12

LAST WEEK: D 1-1 at Dallas

The only game of the season between conference powerhouses FC Dallas and New York City FC ended without a winner. A Thomas McNamara 68th-minute rebound goal, which followed a David Villa free kick off the crossbar, canceled out a 20th-minute strike from Kellyn Acosta at Toyota Stadium on Sunday night as Dallas and NYCFC battled to a 1-1 draw. NYCFC goalkeeper Sean Johnson kept the game tied with four big saves, none bigger than this one in the 72nd minute.

NEXT WEEK: at (21) Real Salt Lake Wednesday 5/17 6pm. at (6) Orlando City SC Sunday 5/21 4pm (FS1)

4 HOUSTON DYNAMO (19pts 6W-3L-1D) SCORE: 8.2733 PREV: 8 (+4) H4/L10

LAST WEEK: W 2-1 vs Vancouver

The Dynamo continued to roll at home this season, as they're now 6-0-1 at BBVA Compass Stadium. Pushing quickly, they got on the board in short order and despite a late rally from the Whitecaps, held on for the victory. Throw in the continued production from their young core of attackers, even with Quioto and Elis coming off early due to apparent injuries, and Wilmer Cabrera's men are making their home a fortress this year. A massive 3 game road trip is upcoming though as the Dynamo have to travel to Philadelphia, Atlanta this week, then Dallas before returning home to play RSL all in the space of the next 16 days.

NEXT WEEK: at (13) Philadelphia Wednesday 5/17 430pm, at (12) Atlanta Saturday 5/20 4pm

5 SPORTING KANSAS CITY (19pts 5W-2L-4D) SCORE: 7.7677 PREV: 3 (-2) H2/L5

LAST WEEK: D 2-2 at Orlando

As the SFPI predicted, Sporting KC became the first team to earn a point at Orlando's new stadium on Saturday night, as Latif Blessing scored a brace in his first MLS start to earn a 2-2 draw for the visitors in place of suspended Dom Dwyer. With the double on Saturday, SKC have now scored two goals or more in three of their past four and things are looking up on the offensive end.

NEXT WEEK: vs (15) Seattle Wednesday 5/17 530pm, at (9) Vancouver Saturday 5/20 4pm

6 ORLANDO CITY SC (19pts 6W-3L-1D) SCORE: 7.5167 PREV: 5 (-1) H2/L8

LAST WEEK: D 2-2 vs Kansas City

Orlando finally didn't win at home. After opening the season with five straight wins at their new stadium, SKC's late equalizer ruined the party. The good times are sure to continue, however, as the Lions are finally roaring from all sides. The return of Kaká to his playmaker role, the return of Jose Aja to partner Jonathan Spector in defense, and the budding partnership of Carlos Rivas and Larin up top mean more wins are surely on the horizon.

NEXT WEEK: at (10) San Jose Wednesday 5/17 730pm, vs (3) NYCFC Sunday 5/21 4pm (FS1)

7 COLUMBUS CREW SC (19pts 6W-5L-1D) SCORE: 6.8284 PREV: 9 (+2) H1/L9

LAST WEEK: L 2-1 vs Toronto, W 3-2 at Montreal

Columbus dropped one at home, but made it back on the road in a tough double game week giving up a post 80' minute brace to Tosaint Ricketts after jumping up 1-0 early. But they got the late last laugh against Montreal as Justin Merram scored a hat trick with two goals in the first 30 minutes, and then this stoppage time winner to bring home all three points.

NEXT WEEK: at (14) New England Sunday 5/21 1130am

8 PORTLAND TIMBERS (18pts 5W-3L-3D) SCORE: 6.7097 PREV: 7 (-1) H1/L8

LAST WEEK: D 1-1 vs Atlanta

Liam Ridgewell earned his first goal (and Ridgey Roll) of the season to make up for being the most culpable in Atlantas 46' minute goal, and Portland came back to earn a home draw, despite being down Darlington Nagbe for a second straight game. David Guzman, almost rescued all 3 points at the death but his curling volley came just off the Left Post in the North End (that post has given more to the Timbers than it has taken, but this time was not forgiving). Winless in their last three, only one win in their last five, and two in their last eight, The Timbers are officially in a slump. Hopefully they can regain some road form as games to Montreal and Seattle (where they have never won in the regular season) are up next.

NEXT WEEK: at (16) Montreal Saturday 5/20 12pm

9 VANCOUVER WHITECAPS (13pts 4W-5L-1D) SCORE: 6.5882 PREV: 10 (+1) H9/L22

LAST WEEK: L 2-1 at Houston

Brek Shea scored a late consolation goal off the bench for the second straight week, but it was not enough and Vancouvers 2 game winning streak. They finish the 4 game road trip with a respectable 6 points and now head back to BC Place for their next 4.

NEXT WEEK: vs (5) Sporting Kansas City Saturday 5/20 4pm

10 SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES (15pts 4W-4L-3D) SCORE: 6.4677 PREV: 6 (-4) H6/L15

LAST WEEK: L 3-0 at Colorado

One week after completely embarrassing Portland at home, San Jose was similarly embarrassed on the road by the worst team in the league. Conceding 2 first half goals 6 minutes apart before Shkelzen Gashi buried this shot to put the game to bed just 11 minutes into the second half.

NEXT WEEK: vs (6) Orlando Wednesday 5/17 730pm, at (2) FC Dallas Saturday 5/20 5pm

11 CHICAGO FIRE (15pts 4W-3L-3D) SCORE: 6.2582 PREV: 13 (+2) H5/L14

LAST WEEK: W 4-1 vs Seattle

The Fire remain unbeaten at home this year with a 3 goal second half to put away Seattle for only the second time in MLS play. This team is much improved from last year, and if they can figure out how to string some points together on the road, they will make some serious noise in a suddenly tough Eastern Conference.

NEXT WEEK: vs (22) Colorado Rapids Wednesday 5/17 530pm, at (16) DC United Saturday 5/20 (UniMas, FB Live)

12 ATLANTA UNITED FC (12pts 3W-4L-3D) SCORE: 5.679 PREV: 12 (NC) H4/L12

LAST WEEK: D 1-1 at Portland

Serious questions remain, and Atlanta has still only won one match in their last 7 (a 3-1 win at lowly RSL), but they were able to go into one of the most energetic environments in all of MLS and snag a road point. While Atlanta did a strong job of defending the Timbers as a whole, the way they stymied playmaker Diego Valeri deserves praise. Atlanta kept Valeri in check for much of the 90 minutes, limiting the Argentine, who finished with just two shots on the day and one on target. Keeping the dynamic attacker in check was crucial to Atlanta grabbing a point.

NEXT WEEK: vs (4) Houston Dynamo Saturday 5/20 4pm

13 PHILADELPHIA UNION (10pts 2W-4L-4D) SCORE: 5.6368 PREV: 18 (+5) H13/L22

LAST WEEK: W 4-0 at DC United

After having gone over 240 days without a regular season win, and approaching an MLS record for futility, something has clicked for The Union who have now won 2 straight by a combined 7-0, and are on a 4 game unbeaten run with 3 consecutive clean sheets. In fairness though, the game was still in doubt as Philly only led 1-0 until Luciano Acosta was sent off in the 55th minute for this foul on Ilsinho. Then the floodgates opened. Home games with Houston (who is poor on the road), and Colorado (who is just poor), are up this week will give Philly a chance to shoot up the rankings even further.

NEXT WEEK: vs (4) Houston Dynamo Wednesday 5/17 430pm, vs (22) Colorado Rapids Saturday 5/20 4pm

14 NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION (13pts 3W-4L-4D) SCORE: 5.2154 PREV: 17 (+3) H7/17

LAST WEEK: W 4-0 vs Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake Without Many Of Their Starters (TM)-The Cure For What Ails Your Team! The Revs ran an RSL team that has been decimated by injuries (and USMNT-U20 call ups and had to start 3 players making their MLS debuts), right off the new Field Turf at Gillette Stadium behind 4 first half goals. That ended a 5 game winless streak for New England, giving them their 3rd W of 2017. But a brutal stretch is coming up with 3 of 4 games against teams ahead of them in the standings.

NEXT WEEK: vs (7) Columbus Sunday 5/21 1130am

15 SEATTLE SOUNDERS (10pts 2W-4L-4D) SCORE: 5.0852 PREV: 14 (-1) H8/L15

LAST WEEK: L 4-1 at Chicago

Take heart, Sounders fans: At this point in 2016 Seattle only had 13 points on a 4W-5L-1D record, and still turned it around to win MLS Cup! Of course, that is 3 points more than they have now, and Nicolas Lodeiro is already on the team, and Sigi Schmidt was fired LAST year.... So, if Brian Schmetzer has some trick up his sleeve to spark a turnaround, now is the time to pull it.

NEXT WEEK: at (5) Sporting Kansas City Wednesday 5/17 530pm, vs (21) Real Salt Lake Saturday 5/20 2pm

16 MONTREAL IMPACT (10pts 2W-4L-4D) SCORE: 4.968 PREV: 15 (-1) H13/L17

LAST WEEK: L 3-2 vs Columbus

After fighting back from 2-0 down to pull level, The Impact let off just enough to allow Justin Meram to bury a dagger right in their chest in stoppage time. But the silver lining is that this was the debut of Swiss midfielder Blerim Dzemaili, the Impact's big midseason addition. He was lively in the match, and came close to scoring on several occasions, but looked like he's still getting to know his new teammates. With Dzemaili on the same page as the likes of Piatti, one expects the Impact to be more competitive in the summer run.

NEXT WEEK: vs (8) Portland Saturday 5/20 12pm

17 NEW YORK RED BULLS (16pts 5W-6L-1D) SCORE: 4.4959 PREV: 11 (-6) H7/L17

LAST WEEK: L 3-0 vs Los Angeles

Can May just be over for the Red Bulls yet? They are 0-3 thus far this month losing by a combined score of 8-1. The Red Bulls' lengthy run of home dominance ended in frustrating fashion. They were caught sleeping in the game's opening stages, then proceeded to dominate possession and string together endless passes, only to consistently misfire and miss connections in front of goal. That's basically the opposite of the usual game plan under Jesse Marsch.

NEXT WEEK: vs (1) Toronto Friday 5/19 430pm

18 LOS ANGELES GALAXY (11pts 3W-5L-2D) SCORE: 3.9615 PREV: 21 (+3) H14/L21

LAST WEEK: W 3-0 at New York Red Bulls

The LA Galaxy ended the New York Red Bulls' 13-month league home unbeaten streak in emphatic fashion on Sunday evening, racing out to an 2-0 lead in the game's first 10 minutes before cruising to a 3-1 victory at Red Bull Arena. As has been the case all season, Romain Alessandrini was the Galaxy's prime source of inspiration, scoring his team's first two goals and earning the penalty kick that was stroked home by Giovani dos Santos to end any lingering hopes of a late RBNY comeback. So the big question is: Is this the LA team we should expect from now on, or just a small bright spot on what may ultimately be a disappointing season. A three game road trip may just provide that answer.

NEXT WEEK: at (19) Minnesota Sunday 5/21 2pm (ESPN)

19 MINNESOTA UNITED (11pts 3W-6L-2D) SCORE: 3.6577 PREV: 19 (NC) H19/20

LAST WEEK: L 3-2 vs Toronto

There is no shame in losing to the #1 team, especially on the road, and The Loons showed a lot of grit and determination to fight back to level after going down twice, but their defensive issues reared their ugly head again. While the they side did a good job of exploiting space when hitting on the counter, it made some very poor errors in the defensive third. Abu Danladi's unnecessary challenge that led to Toronto's first-half penalty kick and Christian Ramirez's own goal highlighted those frailties at the back, as they made life more difficult for a Minnesota side that scored a respectable two goals on the road against Toronto.

NEXT WEEK: vs (18) LA Galaxy Sunday 5/21 2pm (ESPN)

20 DC UNITED (11pts 3W-5L-2D) SCORE: 3.2477 PREV: 16 (-4) H8/L20

LAST WEEK: L 3-0 vs Philadelphia

Acosta is going to have to learn to better control his temper, a hard foul right in front of the ref when you are frustrated is never going to end well. That was the moment that wheels fell off for DC who just a couple weeks ago looked like they were putting everything together. Two straight home shutout losses though, especially against weaker opponents, will send any team tumbling down the SFPI.

NEXT WEEK: vs (11) Chicago Saturday 5/20 1pm (UniMas, FB Live)

21 REAL SALT LAKE (8pts 2W-7L-2D) SCORE: 2.2332 PREV: 20 (-1) H17/L21

LAST WEEK: L 4-0 at New England

There really isn't much more to say. Yes, they have been decimated by injuries and US U-20 call ups (so at least maybe the future looks bright in SLC?), but they have lost four straight matches by a combined score of 13-1 and have been shut out in their last three. The schedule doesn't get any easier either going vs NYC, at Seattle, vs Philly, at Houston, at Dallas, before coming home to play Minnesota which is arguably their best chance at a win in their next six.

NEXT WEEK: vs (3) NYCFC Wednesday 5/17 6pm, at (15) Seattle Saturday 5/20 2pm

22 COLORADO RAPIDS (7pts 2W-6L-1D) SCORE: 2.1157 PREV: 22 (NC) H17/L22

LAST WEEK: W 3-0 vs San Jose

How bad did you have to be to win 3-0 against a top 10 team in the league, have the team above you lose 4-0 to a bottom 10 team and still stay at the bottom of the rankings? You had to be Colorado bad, remember their total score last week was below 1. Their performance score this week is at least in positive territory. Unfortunately a double road game week looms and the rapids are 0-4 away from Dick Sporting Goods Park this season.

NEXT WEEK: at (11) Chicago Wednesday 5/17 530pm, at (13) Philadelphia Saturday 5/20 4pm

PREDICTIONS:

Last week, the SFPI went 6-6 (50%) for its best week ever bringing its overall record to 19-40 (32.2%)

So I will keep the same criteria as last week (1.5 point bonus for home team, if the teams scores are then within 1 point call it a draw)

Houston at Philadelphia: HOUSTON

Colorado at Chicago: CHICAGO

Seattle at Sporting KC: SPORTING KC

NYCFC at RSL: NYCFC

Orlando at San Jose: DRAW

Toronto FC at New York Red Bulls: TORONTO

Portland at Montreal: DRAW

Chicago at DC United: CHICAGO

RSL at Seattle: SEATTLE

Houston at Atlanta: HOUSTON

Colorado at Philadelphia: PHILADELPHIA

Sporting KC at Vancouver: DRAW

San Jose at FC Dallas: DALLAS

Columbus at New England: DRAW

LA at Minnesota: MINNESOTA

NYCFC at Orlando: DRAW