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Rose City Forecast 12: Montreal vs. PTFC

MLS: Atlanta United FC at Portland Timbers Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

Here we are at the Forecast again, after a disappointing home draw against Atlanta. The two highest scoring teams produced a tepid match without a whole lot of excitement. Atlanta got on the board immediately after the half on Gressel’s first goal of the season and sloppy Timbers defending, and PTFC equalized a few minutes later when Atlanta left Ridgy unmarked at the back post on a free kick.

A whole host of you earned two points, calling Guzman’s assist and over on cards, but pick of the week goes to straight red who called 1-1, and the over on cards, for a total of nine points. Most recommended pick had nothing to do with soccer and everything to do with all the spam we’ve had around here lately. Z_thrilla suggested that one of you Stumptown Footy commenters would actually find cute ladies and love by clicking one of those links. If that actually happened, do inform me.

As always, if I messed up the standings, please yell at me in the comments!

Forecast Standings Week 11

Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Crafty_PDX 59 1
Independent_Cascadia 59 2
Bosoxtjh18 55 4
MacVanek 55 2
Z_thrilla 55 0
STYLES34 54 1
Schmadam08 52 3
Rhyanoceras 50 1
JonMc 48 0
Qoolio 48 1
RCTID26 48 0
richard.hamje 47 0
shrekpdx 46 1
Hendrik Johannes 45 0
PGHTimber 45 0
Timber DT 45 1
Weresquatch 45 0
PenguinChe 44 0
afreborg 40 0
dhenrichs 40 0
Z-Whiz 40 3
hoser!hoser! 39 1
TheChooChooChin 39 0
MofoOG 38 1
Timber Dave 38 0
UNOprivateer 38 1
Withdrawn Striker 38 0
Deschutes 37 2
GeorgeCorps17 37 2
MindfulCyclist 37 2
BarmyTarmy 36 1
Put-Me-In-Coach 36 0
MrMoody 35 1
deadjeff 33 1
James Bondo 31 0
landoid 30 2
YoBergo 30 0
my favorite axe 26 2
lefhanded49 25 0
TigardTimber 25 0
Webfooter17 24 0
product_placement 23 2
shenanigans 23 0
4-5-2 21 0
irisblue32 20 0
picknroll222 17 1
Tfetters 16 0
Walrus_Kasra 16 0
RCTIDnomatterwhat 15 0
straight red 15 9
mschofer 12 0
Hailfire97 10 0
Ibowyer 10 0
pdxsoccerdad 9 0
Andrew Collins 8 0
biggieswc 8 0
CubanDaywalker 8 0
Foggy4 8 0
hobbesoftheeast 8 0
lcpdx 8 0
LU_PDX 8 0
Hand Ride 7 0
Kaatmandu 7 0
KarlRadekBonk 7 0
living 7 0
YoYoBananas 7 0
Timbersox 6 0
Timber TKO 6 0
ScottyRiley 5 0
Jjwalker16 4 0
Ballast 3 0
BlazerTucker 3 0
jackwiddy 3 0
JoeyinTimberland 3 0
KzooTimbers 0 0

This Saturday, PTFC is on the road for a match against Eastern Conference basement dwellers, Montreal Impact who have just 10 points from 10 games, and have only won once at home. Darlington Nagbe is expected to return to the Timbers’ lineup, and hopefully Valeri will have eliminated some of the rust he showed last week. Can they get the needed 3 points?

Over/under: 4.5 total cards

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most recommended/most outrageously accurate prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. Though I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (e.g., if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination you get a total of three points - 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores assisted by Adi and Adi scores assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction - 1 goal, 1 assist)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK. Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as a FK, and a FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

Most weeks, I will reward the most recommended prediction with the 2 points. However, if someone predicts that Caleb will bring a towel to dry off Seattle’s field, and he does, they’ll probably get those two points, regardless of whether they got the recs. We’ll also be testing this out, because I want to be careful that this doesn’t end up favoring the first few people to post their prediction. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.


In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners, eg: 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person.

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: no points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.)

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction.

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry Nagbe for the first time in three years, he kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.

As always, any questions about anything?