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Rose City Forecast 13: PTFC vs SSFC

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Fish Gutted

Welp, here we are back at the forecast, and for the second time in three weeks, the Timbers got run off the pitch to a three goal loss. If you really want to relive it, go check out the Timber Cruise or the post match summary. It’s enough to know that the score was 4-1 Montreal, with goals from Piatti (2), Fisher, and Oyongo. The Timbers’ lone goal came from Valeri off a Powell cross.

Hoser!Hoser! had the most accurate prediction, coming away with nine points by calling a Timbers loss, both Piatti goals, two assists - one Piatti’s PK, and correctly predicting a lot of cards. UNOprivateer had the most recommended silly prediction, suggesting that Darlington Nagbe would misunderstand Montreal fans’ chants of ‘oui oui’, and would therefore urinate on the field. Thankfully, Darlington did no such thing.

As always, let me know if I missed your points this week!

Forecast Standings Week 12

Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Bosoxtjh18 63 8
Crafty_PDX 62 3
Independent_Cascadia 62 3
STYLES34 58 4
Z_thrilla 58 1
MacVanek 56 1
Rhyanoceras 55 5
Schmadam08 54 2
RCTID26 53 5
Qoolio 52 4
Weresquatch 51 6
JonMc 50 2
richard.hamje 49 2
hoser!hoser! 48 9
shrekpdx 48 2
TNOTTS 48 3
Timber DT 46 1
Hendrik Johannes 45 0
PGHTimber 45 0
PenguinChe 44 0
afreborg 43 3
Z-Whiz 43 3
UNOprivateer 42 4
dhenrichs 41 1
deadjeff 40 7
Deschutes 40 3
GeorgeCorps17 40 3
Withdrawn Striker 40 2
MindfulCyclist 39 2
MofoOG 39 1
TheChooChooChin 39 0
BarmyTarmy 38 2
Timber Dave 38 0
Put-Me-In-Coach 36 0
MrMoody 35 0
landoid 33 3
James Bondo 31 0
lefhanded49 30 5
YoBergo 30 0
my favorite axe 26 0
TigardTimber 25 0
Webfooter17 24 0
product_placement 23 0
shenanigans 23 0
4-5-2 22 1
irisblue32 20 0
picknroll222 17 0
Tfetters 16 0
Walrus_Kasra 16 0
RCTIDnomatterwhat 15 0
straight red 15 0
mschofer 12 0
Hailfire97 10 0
Ibowyer 10 0
pdxsoccerdad 9 0
Andrew Collins 8 0
biggieswc 8 0
CubanDaywalker 8 0
Foggy4 8 0
hobbesoftheeast 8 0
lcpdx 8 0
LU_PDX 8 0
Hand Ride 7 0
Kaatmandu 7 0
KarlRadekBonk 7 0
living 7 0
YoYoBananas 7 0
jackwiddy 6 3
Timbersox 6 0
Timber TKO 6 0
ScottyRiley 5 0
Jjwalker16 4 0
Ballast 3 0
BlazerTucker 3 0
JoeyinTimberland 3 0
KzooTimbers 0 0

Well, there’s only been a little bit of rivalry banter so far, but this week the Timbers travel north for their fourth road game of the past five weeks. The Timbers are clearly in a slump, winless in their last four. Meanwhile, Seattle won last week, but sits on just 13 points from 12 games. They have, however, lost only once at home. A win for Seattle would put them firmly back in contention, if not quite above the red line. A win for the Timbers would go a long way to restoring fans’ confidence in the season. Can they pull it off in this derby?

(Remember, you can predict more than one red card if you feel another red card wedding on the way.)

Over/under: 5.5 total cards

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most recommended/most outrageously accurate prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. Though I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (e.g., if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination you get a total of three points - 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores assisted by Adi and Adi scores assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction - 1 goal, 1 assist)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK. Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as a FK, and a FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

Most weeks, I will reward the most recommended prediction with the 2 points. However, if someone predicts that Caleb will bring a towel to dry off Seattle’s field, and he does, they’ll probably get those two points, regardless of whether they got the recs. We’ll also be testing this out, because I want to be careful that this doesn’t end up favoring the first few people to post their prediction. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.

Format:

In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners, eg: 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person.

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: no points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.)

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction.

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry Nagbe for the first time in three years, he kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.

As always, any questions about anything?