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Rose City Forecast 10: SJE vs PTFC

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MLS: U.S. Open Cup-San Jose Earthquakes at Portland Timbers Jaime Valdez-USA TODAY Sports

Here we are at the Forecast again, after earning a quality, but ultimately disappoint point in Dallas. If you missed it, the match had goals to go around, finishing 2-2. The Timbers twice took the lead, 1-0 and 2-1, on an Adi header(!) and Blanco’s first goal of the season. Unfortunately, both times, they conceded an equalizer, once to former Timber Urruti and once to Tesho Akindele. Playing without Valeri, scoring twice on a team that had conceded no more than once per game at home is certainly an accomplishment, as is coming away with a result. But having given up the lead twice, it ended up feeling empty.

Both Weresquatch and Qoolio had the best picks, calling the 2-2 scoreline, the Adi, Blanco, and Urruti goals. Honorable mention to Deschutes who just missed the Blanco goal. Most recommended pick was Timber DT’s suggestion that ANGRY Nagbe would arrive, scoring two goals, and earning two yellows for his first sending off. Unfortunately, that was not at all what happened, and Nagbe ended up the scapegoat of the night, having a role in conceding both equalizers, plus failing to shoot on the first touch from the penalty spot and missing the opportunity.

And now for the standings.

Standings Week Nine

Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Crafty_PDX 56 1
Independent_Cascadia 55 3
Z_thrilla 55 0
MacVanek 51 0
STYLES34 51 2
Bosoxtjh18 47 4
JonMc 47 3
Rhyanoceras 47 6
Qoolio 46 11
RCTID26 46 2
Schmadam08 46 3
richard.hamje 45 1
TNOTTS 45 0
Weresquatch 45 11
Hendrik Johannes 44 4
PGHTimber 44 1
shrekpdx 44 5
Timber DT 43 2
PenguinChe 42 7
dhenrichs 39 2
afreborg 38 5
TheChooChooChin 38 5
Timber Dave 38 2
Withdrawn Striker 38 1
hoser!hoser! 37 2
MofoOG 36 2
Put-Me-In-Coach 35 1
UNOprivateer 35 0
Z-Whiz 35 1
BarmyTarmy 34 0
GeorgeCorps17 34 4
MrMoody 34 2
Deschutes 33 10
MindfulCyclist 33 2
deadjeff 32 0
James Bondo 30 1
YoBergo 30 0
landoid 27 2
TigardTimber 25 0
lefhanded49 24 0
my favorite axe 24 4
Webfooter17 24 0
shenanigans 23 0
irisblue32 20 0
4-5-2 19 0
product_placement 19 2
Tfetters 16 0
Walrus_Kasra 16 0
RCTIDnomatterwhat 15 0
mschofer 12 0
Hailfire97 10 0
Ibowyer 10 3
picknroll222 10 0
pdxsoccerdad 9 0
Andrew Collins 8 0
biggieswc 8 0
CubanDaywalker 8 0
Foggy4 8 0
hobbesoftheeast 8 0
lcpdx 8 0
LU_PDX 8 0
Hand Ride 7 0
Kaatmandu 7 0
KarlRadekBonk 7 0
living 7 0
YoYoBananas 7 0
straight red 6 0
Timbersox 6 0
Timber TKO 6 0
ScottyRiley 5 0
Jjwalker16 4 0
Ballast 3 0
BlazerTucker 3 0
JoeyinTimberland 3 0
jackwiddy 2 2
KzooTimbers 0 0

This week, the Timbers travel to take on western conference ‘rival’ San Jose. The Timbers could possibly be without both Nagbe and Valeri, as Nagbe came off limping in Dallas and Valeri may not be fully recovered from his injury against Vancouver. With a road form opposite to 2016, the Timbers have won more away games than they’ve lost, but San Jose also has yet to lose at home in 2017. Can the Timbers find enough goals to break the Earthquakes’ streak, or will they manage a result at all?

Over/under: 4.5 total cards

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most recommended/most outrageously accurate prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. Though I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (e.g., if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination you get a total of three points - 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores assisted by Adi and Adi scores assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction - 1 goal, 1 assist)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK. Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as a FK, and a FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

Most weeks, I will reward the most recommended prediction with the 2 points. However, if someone predicts that Caleb will bring a towel to dry off Seattle’s field, and he does, they’ll probably get those two points, regardless of whether they got the recs. We’ll also be testing this out, because I want to be careful that this doesn’t end up favoring the first few people to post their prediction. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.

Format:

In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners, eg: 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person.

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: no points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.)

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction.

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry Nagbe for the first time in three years, he kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.

As always, any questions about anything?