Week 10 is in the books and it was a wild one! Philadelphia earned their first win, SKC conceded multiple goals in a game for the first time this year, an MLS Cup rematch went to last years runner up, and it was a tough week for Top 5 teams playing away from home with Orlando (twice), Sporting KC, and Portland all losing on the road. Biggest Winner is San Jose jumping 6 spots, while the Biggest Loser is DC United falling 8 spots.
Components of SFPI:
PPG Score: Overall PPG is added to PPG over last 5 with last 5 being given more weight. Largest component of SFPI.
Goal Difference Per Game: Overall Goal Difference/Games Played
Home/Away Bonus: Bonus points for picking up results (W/D) on the road, Negative points for dropping results (D/L) at home. Accrues over entire season.
Performance Score: Previously called Pre Strength of Schedule Score adds all above components.
Strength of Schedule: Average of Performance Scores of all of a teams opponents thus far. Weighted at less than 100%
Total Score: Performance Score is added to Strength of Schedule to create Total Score. Teams are then ranked in order from highest score to lowest. There is no theoretical minimum or maximum score, however the highest score that I have observed has been just over 10 points, negative scores are also possible.
(all times Pacific)
1: FC DALLAS (18pts 5W-0L-3D) SCORE: 10.0609 PREV: 1 (NC) H1/L2
LAST WEEK: W 3-0 at Real Salt Lake
The lone unbeaten team in MLS travelled to Salt Lake City and rode an Urruti Brace to a 3-0 win over RSL in the first trip to Rio Tinto as a visitor for RSL all time assist leader Javier Morales. Morales never saw action on the field, however. With the win FCD becomes the first team to break 10 points in the 2017 SFPI and solidifies their grip atop the Rankings.
NEXT WEEK: vs (4) NYCFC Sunday 5/14 5pm (FS1)
2: TORONTO FC (19pts 5W-1L-4D) SCORE: 9.7888 PREV: 6 (+4) H2/L10
LAST WEEK: W 2-1 vs Orlando City SC, W 1-0 at Seattle Sounders
In a rematch of the 2016 MLS Cup, Toronto came to Seattle shorthanded after playing midweek against Orlando City SC. Sebastian Giovinco, Victor Vazquez, Eriq Zavaleta and Steven Beitashour were all left in Toronto after their 2-1 win on Wednesday. But that did not stop The Reds, as Jozy Altidore's penalty-kick goal in the 23rd minute was enough to lift the visitors. Toronto is now on a four game winning streak but face a daunting May as they will play 6 games this month and are almost halfway through a 5 matches in 16 days stretch, where 4 of the five will be in a 10 day period.
NEXT WEEK: at (9) Columbus Wednesday 5/10 430pm, vs (19) Minnesota Saturday 5/13 12pm
3: SPORTING KC (18pts 5W-2L-3D) SCORE: 8.6699 PREV: 2 (-1) H2/L5
LAST WEEK W 2-0 vs NYRB, L 2-0 at Minnesota United
After dispatching the Red Bulls in typical home fashion, SKC travelled to Minnesota for what should have been an easy road result. Instead, the Loons shocked the world with not one, but TWO first half goals and SKC could not find any sort of offense in the final 3rd. It is the first time this season that SKC has conceded multiple goals.
NEXT WEEK: at (5) Orlando City SC Saturday 5/13 4pm
4: NEW YORK CITY FC (16pts 5W-3L-1D) SCORE: 8.1343 PREV: 4 (NC) H4/L12
LAST WEEK: W 3-1 vs Atlanta United FC
The flashy MLS expansion newcomers of 2017 visited their counterparts of two years ago at Yankee Stadium on Sunday, and the elders won out. Fueled by a second-half flurry of two goals in two minutes from Rodney Wallace and Maxi Moralez, New York City FC accelerated past Atlanta United 3-1, condemning the visitors to their first-ever losing streak. Fresh off signing his contract extension earlier in the week, David Villa opened the scoring with a thumping finish and later added an assist with his role in Moralez's goal. Carlos Carmona responded with a piledriver of his own to level matters heading into halftime, but Atlanta had no answer for NYCFC after the break.
NEXT WEEK: at (1) FC Dallas Sunday 5/14 5pm (FS1)
5: ORLANDO CITY SC (18pts 6W-3L-0D) SCORE: 7.7291 PREV: 2 (-3) H2/L8
LAST WEEK: L 2-1 at Toronto FC, L 4-0 at Houston Dynamo
Perfect at home, struggling on the road. And while a double road game week with trips north of the border, then down to Texas is hard on anyone it was particularly hard on Orlando who now have their first losing streak of the season. In Houston, it was obvious that The Lions were just plain gassed. Fortunately a full week between matches and being at home should help when SKC comes to town.
NEXT WEEK: vs (3) Sporting KC Saturday 5/13 4pm
6: SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES (15pts 4W-3L-3D) SCORE: 7.605 PREV: 12 (+6) H6/L15
LAST WEEK: W 3-0 vs Portland Timbers
After a 6 game winless streak, the Quakes have now won two straight, and remain unbeaten at home on the year. With a match at Colorado up next San Jose will look to rack up 3 more points and be right back in the thick of the Western Conference race.
NEXT WEEK: at (22) Colorado Rapids Saturday 5/13 1pm (UniMas, FB Live)
7: PORTLAND TIMBERS (17pts 5W-3L-2D) SCORE: 7.4188 PREV: 5 (-2) H1/L7
LAST WEEK: L 3-0 at San Jose Earthquakes.
Well, that was forgettable. Minus Valeri and Nagbe, Portland was unable to get any coherent attack, nor could they maintain any consistent possession. As such, Portland Killer Chris Wondolowski (10 goals in 13 games against the Timbers) was free to cause havoc up and down the Timbers back line, scoring twice and setting up the 3rd. Since starting off with 3 straight wins, Portland is 2W-3L-2D (1.14 ppg) if they keep THAT pace the rest of the season they will likely miss the playoffs for the second straight year.
NEXT WEEK: vs (12) Atlanta United FC Sunday 5/14 1pm (ESPN)
8: HOUSTON DYNAMO (16pts 5W-3L-1D) SCORE: 7.334 PREV: 10 (+2) H4/L10
LAST WEEK: W 4-0 vs Orlando City SC
Cubo who? The Houston Dynamo were without Cubo Torres, lost Eric Alexander after just nine minutes because of an injury, and missed an early PK. None of that stopped the club from posting its biggest win of the season, as the Dynamo attack terrorized Orlando City's defense from the opening whistle. This was not a one-man show, either. Houston got contributions from almost all their attack-minded players, including Mauro Manotas and a superb Alex in midfield.
NEXT WEEK: vs (10) Vancouver Whitecaps Friday 5/13 6pm
9: COLUMBUS CREW (16pts 5W-4L-1D) SCORE: 6.6189 PREV: 9 (NC) H1/L9
LAST WEEK: W 2-0 vs New England Revolution
Columbus Crew SC snapped a two-match losing streak on Saturday night, beating the New England Revolution 2-0 behind goals from Ola Kamara and Federico Higuain. Kamara found the net for the third straight time at home, putting Crew SC up 1-0 in the 13th minute when he ran onto a through ball from Justin Meram, worked into space in the area and curled a high shot inside the far post. In the 53rd, it was Kamara's turn to play set-up man. He took a long pass from Higuain, waited for the playmaker to catch up, then cut the ball back to him for a finish high in the center of the goal. It is Columbus's 5th win of the year in 10 games. It took them 25 games last year to record their 5th W.
NEXT WEEK: vs (2) Toronto FC Wednesday 5/10 430pm, at (15) Montreal Impact Saturday 5/13 2pm
10: VANCOUVER WHITECAPS (13pts 4W-4L-1D) SCORE: 6.4298 PREV 15 (+5) H10/L22
LAST WEEK: W 1-0 at Colorado Rapids
After being atrocious on the road all season, a 4 game spell away from BC Place did not seem like the recipe for Vancouver to keep pace in a crowded West. Yet, 3 games in and Vancouver has pulled 6 points so far following back to back wins at Montreal and Colorado thanks to a late Brek Shea goal (complete with I'm having a baby 'pregnant' celebration). A win at Houston this week could see them crack the top 5 of the SFPI.
NEXT WEEK: at (8) Houston Dynamo Friday 5/13 6pm
11: NEW YORK RED BULLS (16pts 5W-5L-1D) SCORE: 6.2384 PREV: 7 (-4) H7/L16
LAST WEEK: L 2-0 at Sporting KC, L 3-0 at Philadelphia Union
Talk about a forgettable week. Following a strong home stand where they nabbed all 9 points, and with another 3 game set in the friendly confines that has yet to witness a loss in 2017 on the horizon the Red Bulls could have taken early control of the Eastern Conference. Instead they fell flat on their face with a combined 5-0 whipping at the hands of SKC (Ok not surprising) and then winless PHILADELPHIA. Louis Robles is going to have nightmares about CJ Sapong for the next week after allowing a hat trick in the space of 10 minutes. NYRB is now on a 5 game losing streak away from home.
NEXT WEEK: vs (21) LA Galaxy Sunday 5/14 3pm (FS1)
12: ATLANTA UNITED (11pts 3W-4L-2D) SCORE: 5.8618 PREV: 11 (-1) H4/L12
LAST WEEK: L 3-1 at New York City FC
The Cooling Off continues for Atlanta as they have now won only once in their last 6 (3-1 at Real Salt Lake). Another second half meltdown led to two quick goals for NYCFC from which they could never recover. After conceding only five goals in their first five games, Atlanta have now leaked nine in their last four, and it's no surprise that they're 1-3 during that stretch. As opponents figure out their high-tempo pressing, it's left their back four more exposed and even on the compact pitch at Yankee Stadium, they were unable to impose themselves on the rhythm of Sunday's encounter. Timbers fans hope they don't figure it out this week however.
NEXT WEEK: at (7) Portland Timbers Sunday 5/14 1pm (ESPN)
13: CHICAGO FIRE (12pts 3W-3L-3D) SCORE: 5.7839 PREV: 14 (+1) H5/L14
LAST WEEK: D 2-2 at LA Galaxy
Well, at least they don't finish this road trip completely empty handed, but after going up 2-0 within less than 20 minutes, Chicago is going to regret allowing LA to climb back into this match. But, a road point is a road point and two winnable home games are up next, time to get back in the saddle and try to keep above the red line in an improved East.
NEXT WEEK: vs (14) Seattle Sounders Saturday 5/13 6pm (ESPN2)
14: SEATTLE SOUNDERS (10pts 2W-3L-4D) SCORE: 5.6233 PREV: 13 (-1) H8/L14
LAST WEEK: L 1-0 vs Toronto FC
Again, the PKs went the way of the visiting team in this MLS Cup rematch. Unfortunately for the defending Champs, they were not the visitors this time around. It is the first loss at The CLink in the Schmetzer era. The Sounders only managed two shots on target throughout the match (following none on target in the Cup Final last season), despite having a nearly 2-1 possession advantage, 8 corners, 31 crosses and completing 665 passes.
NEXT WEEK: at (13) Chicago Fire Saturday 5/13 6pm (ESPN2)
15: MONTREAL IMPACT (10pts 2W-3L-4D) SCORE: 5.612 PREV: 14 (-1) H13/L17
LAST WEEK: W 1-0 at DC United
Ballou Tabla earned a second consecutive start for the Montreal Impact on Saturday, and the 18-year-old midfielder repaid head coach Mauro Biello's faith in him with a strong 78-minute shift. Tabla not only scored the decisive goal in the Eastern Conference affair with an impressive individual effort that forced D.C. United to have to chase from early on, but he also chipped in some work on the defensive side.
NEXT WEEK: vs (9) Columbus Crew Saturday 5/13 2pm
16: DC UNITED (11pts 3W-4L-2D) SCORE: 5.0802 PREV: 8 (-8) H8/L18
LAST WEEK: L 1-0 vs Montreal Impact
D.C. United were on the wrong end of a shutout for the fifth time this season, and their attack left plenty to be desired. Despite improving in the second half after Patrick Mullins was inserted into the game, D.C. still had a tough time breaking the Impact's strong back line. Ben Olsen's side finished the match with just two shots on target, which is simply not good enough when you win the possession battle and are at home. While goalkeeping was not the reason for D.C. United's narrow loss on Saturday, they do have something to worry about in that regard. Regular starter Bill Hamid was a very late scratch in the match because of an injury, and that will be something to keep an eye on in the coming days.
NEXT WEEK: vs (18) Philadelphia Union Saturday 5/13 4pm
17: NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION (10pts 2W-4L-4D) SCORE: 4.2006 PREV: 16 (-1) H7/L17
LAST WEEK: L 2-0 at Columbus Crew
The Revs still haven't won on the road in 2017, and following another disappointing performance are on a 5 game winless streak. Fortunately for them their next two matches are at home, and one is against RSL so a chance to climb back into the middle of the rankings is ahead, but right now RSL looks like their best chance to snag points in their next 5 games as they then have a return match against Columbus, then travel to both New York teams and host suddenly red hot Toronto before Chicago comes to town on June 17 representing the next likely winnable game.
NEXT WEEK: vs (20) Real Salt Lake Saturday 5/13 430pm
18: PHILADELPHIA UNION (7pts 1W-4L-4D) SCORE: 4.072 PREV: 21 (+3) H18/L22
LAST WEEK: W 3-0 vs New York Red Bulls
It was 252 days ago when the Philadelphia Union last won, beating Sporting Kansas City, 2-0, at Talen Energy Stadium on August 27, 2016. What followed was 15 agonizing regular season games without a win, but the Union made sure they wouldn't break the mark set by the Colorado Rapids (2014-15) and Real Salt Lake (2005-06) who are tied with 18 straight games without a victory. But for 74 minutes that was still up in the air, until CJ Sapong exploded for 3 goals in 16 minutes, and in the process jumped into a tie for The Golden Boot lead. Suddenly, hapless Philly is on a 3 game unbeaten streak.
NEXT WEEK: at (16) DC United Saturday 5/13 4pm
19: MINNESOTA UNITED (11pts 3W-5L-2D) SCORE: 3.7292 PREV: 19 (NC) H19/L20
LAST WEEK: W 2-0 vs Sporting KC
Minnesota became the first team to score multiple goals against Kansas City this year en-route to the biggest win in their young MLS history. The defense is suddenly solid, although a lot of that was Bobby Shuttleworth putting in a MOTM performance making several key saves late in the match despite getting his nose broken by Dom Dwyer, but has only given up one goal in their last 3 matches. Going back to the second half of the Houston match, Minnesota has kept a clean sheet in 6 of the 7 halves.
NEXT WEEK: at (2) Toronto FC Saturday 5/13 12pm
20: REAL SALT LAKE (8pts 2W-6L-2D) SCORE: 3.4408 PREV: 18 (-2) H17/L20
LAST WEEK: L 3-0 vs FC Dallas
The honeymoon for Mike Petke is over. The problems facing RSL this year are deeper than just changing coaches can fix, add in injuries to some of their better players, and RSL can be considered to officially be in rebuilding mode. Hopefully the new signing of Young DP Jefferson Savarino can spark an attack that has been shut out in back to back matches and only scored one in 3 games.
NEXT WEEK: at (17) New England Revolution
21: LOS ANGELES GALAXY (8pts 2W-5L-2D) SCORE: 3.3194 PREV: 20 (-1) H14/L21
LAST WEEK: D 2-2 vs Chicago Fire
It's never a good sign when your Captain is pulled off before halftime in order to send a message. But this time, at least, it was message received as LA showed some fight for arguably the first time this season coming back from 2-0 down at the half to get earn a draw. The question remains, though, is this a sign of a long term turnaround, or was it a one time deal? A 4 game road trip may give us our answer.
NEXT WEEK: at (11) New York Red Bulls Sunday 5/14 3pm (FS1)
22: COLORADO RAPIDS (4pts 1W-6L-1D) SCORE: 0.8174 PREV 22 (NC) H17/L22
LAST WEEK: L 1-0 vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Zero points in their last five matches, 3 straight shutout losses, only one game this season where they have scored more than one goal. It is officially panic time in Commerce City. Every break that seemed to go their way last year as they road a sturdy defense to 1-0 win after 1-0 win are now going against them and have been on the wrong side of the 1-0 scoreline 3 times already this season. Should they lose by 1 goal at home to San Jose this week, their SFPI Score will likely drop to less than 0.5 points.
NEXT WEEK: vs (6) San Jose Earthquakes Saturday 5/13 1pm
PREDICTIONS: Last week was the best week for the SFPI in predicting matches going 5-8 (38.5%) bringing me to 13-34 (27.6%) for the season. I think I wil make one more tweak giving home teams a 1.5 point bonus, but keep the margin for a victory at 1 point. So predictions for this week:
Toronto at Columbus: TORONTO
Vancouver at Houston: HOUSTON
Minnesota at Toronto: TORONTO
San Jose at Colorado: SAN JOSE
Columbus at Montreal: DRAW
Philadelphia at DC United: DC UNITED
Sporting KC at Orlando: DRAW
Real Salt Lake at New England: NEW ENGLAND
Seattle at Chicago: CHICAGO
Atlanta at Portland: PORTLAND
LA Galaxy at NYRB: NYRB
NYCFC at FC Dallas: FC Dallas