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Rose City Forecast 16: COL vs PTFC

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MLS: Portland Timbers at Colorado Rapids Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Another win! Last week, the depleted and injury-cursed Timbers beat an also depleted and injured FC Dallas 2-0 to start an actual winning streak. Adi finally found his scoring boots and put away one of his traditional braces while Valeri was a few hairs (the ones on his arm in particular) away from slamming the goal of the year into the back of the net. On the defensive side, with the help of a Zarek Valentin goal-line clearance, PTFC managed a shutout despite losing both Ridgy AND Miller to injuries by the 60th minute. Okugo and Olum filled in admirably and saw out the Timbers third clean sheet of the year while Chara and Zemanski manned the midfield.

TNOTTS had an exceptional week, setting a new record for points in one week. They correctly predicted the 2-0 scoreline, both Adi goals, and the Valeri and Blanco assists. Shoutout to Schmadam08, the only person to correctly guess Barrios would get first yellow. The most recommended pick was Z_thrilla’s guess involving the return of Blas Perez in ghost form (despite being very much not dead) to score a waved-off stoppage time winner. That would indeed have been wild.

As always, let me know if I missed some points!

Standings Game 15

Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Bosoxtjh18 78 6
Crafty_PDX 75 8
STYLES34 73 8
Z_thrilla 73 4
Schmadam08 70 11
TNOTTS 68 16
MacVanek 67 7
Rhyanoceras 66 10
hoser!hoser! 64 3
Independent_Cascadia 64 0
Qoolio 63 6
richard.hamje 62 12
Weresquatch 61 6
RCTID26 59 0
shrekpdx 59 7
deadjeff 57 5
Timber DT 57 7
GeorgeCorps17 56 5
UNOprivateer 55 9
JonMc 51 1
landoid 48 6
MofoOG 48 0
Deschutes 47 6
Withdrawn Striker 47 2
Hendrik Johannes 45 0
MindfulCyclist 45 0
MrMoody 45 7
PGHTimber 45 0
TheChooChooChin 45 0
PenguinChe 44 0
afreborg 43 0
Z-Whiz 43 0
dhenrichs 41 0
my favorite axe 41 8
BarmyTarmy 39 0
Timber Dave 38 0
Webfooter17 38 0
product_placement 36 10
Put-Me-In-Coach 36 0
4-5-2 34 6
lefhanded49 32 0
James Bondo 31 0
YoBergo 30 0
picknroll222 26 3
TigardTimber 25 0
straight red 24 5
jackwiddy 23 10
shenanigans 23 0
irisblue32 20 0
Tfetters 16 0
Walrus_Kasra 16 0
RCTIDnomatterwhat 15 0
mschofer 12 0
Hailfire97 10 0
Ibowyer 10 0
pdxsoccerdad 9 0
Andrew Collins 8 0
biggieswc 8 0
CubanDaywalker 8 0
Foggy4 8 0
hobbesoftheeast 8 0
lcpdx 8 0
LU_PDX 8 0
Hand Ride 7 0
Kaatmandu 7 0
KarlRadekBonk 7 0
living 7 0
YoYoBananas 7 0
Timbersox 6 0
Timber TKO 6 0
ScottyRiley 5 0
Jjwalker16 4 0
Ballast 3 0
BlazerTucker 3 0
JoeyinTimberland 3 0
KzooTimbers 0 0

With Nagbe, Powell, and Guzman back from international duty, the Timbers travel to Colorado to face the rapids this weekend. Ridgewell is out injured, so it looks like it will be a pairing of Miller and Olum in CB. Can they maintain the defensive form they managed last week? Nagbe comes off a strong performance in Denver only a week and a half ago, which saw him crashing the box on the USMNT. Can he bring that form back to PTFC and combine with Adi’s scoring boots and Valeri’s flair to get goals? In short, will all the pieces coming back together get the Timbers another road win?

Over/under: 3.5 total cards

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most recommended/most outrageously accurate prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. Though I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (e.g., if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination you get a total of three points - 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores assisted by Adi and Adi scores assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction - 1 goal, 1 assist)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK. Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as a FK, and a FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

Most weeks, I will reward the most recommended prediction with the 2 points. However, if someone predicts that Caleb will bring a towel to dry off Seattle’s field, and he does, they’ll probably get those two points, regardless of whether they got the recs. We’ll also be testing this out, because I want to be careful that this doesn’t end up favoring the first few people to post their prediction. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.

Format:

In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners, eg: 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person.

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: no points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.)

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction.

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry Nagbe for the first time in three years, he kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.

As always, any questions about anything?