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Another week done and dusted and it is becoming apparent that conference roles have swapped this year. In recent years the Western conference has been, by and large, vastly superior to the East. This year it has changed. One only needs to look at the table. In the west there are 3 teams tied for 2nd Houston, Portland, and Dallas all with 25 points. In the East 25 points would leave you tied for 5th. The 30 points that western leader SKC has would be tied for 3rd in the East. It was also a double game week for many teams, some took advantage, and others didn't. The biggest winner this week was Columbus climbing 6 spots following a big home win against Montreal. The biggest loser was Seattle falling 9 spots with two draws in the double game week, going from 9pts in their last five to 5pts. Biggest Increase in score was: Sporting KC (+1.6564) and Biggest Decrease was: Seattle (-1.182).
Unfortunately real world obligations prevent any sort of further analysis this week, so without any further ado, the Week 17 SFPI Power Rankings,.
COMPONENTS OF SFPI
PPG SCORE: Overall Points Per Game are added to Points Per Game over Last Five with the Last Five being given more weight. This is the single largest component of the SFPI.
GOAL DIFFERENCE PER GAME: Overall Goal Difference divided by games played.
HOME/AWAY BONUS: Bonus points are awarded for earning results (W/D) on the road, while an equal number of points are subtracted for dropping results (D/L) at home. Accrues over entire season.
PERFORMANCE SCORE: Above Components are added together to form a teams performance score.
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE: Average Performance Scores for all of a teams opponents to date. Weighted at less than 100%. Teams that are faced multiple times are counted multiple times. (ex: As Portland has played Seattle Twice, Seattles Performance Score is added twice)
TOTAL SCORE: Performance Score is added to Strength of Schedule to make a teams Total Score. Teams are then ranked in order from Highest to Lowest.
(all times Pacific )
(*denotes currently Above Red Line)
1:* CHICAGO FIRE (34pts 10W-3L-4D) SCORE: 10.2874 (+0.0243) PREVIOUS 1 (NC) H1/L14
LAST WEEK: W 4-0 vs Orlando
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 20
NEXT WEEK: vs (11) Vancouver Saturday 7/1 4pm
2: *TORONTO FC (35pts 10W-2L-5D) SCORE: 10.1728 (+0.5608) PREVIOUS: 2 (NC) H1/L10
LAST WEEK: W 2-0 vs New England
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 13
NEXT WEEK: at (5) FC Dallas Saturday 7/1 4pm
3: *NEW YORK CITY FC (30pts 9W-3L-5D) SCORE: 8.6894 (+0.619) PREVIOUS: 3 (NC) H2/L12
LAST WEEK: W 2-0 at New York Red Bulls
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 22
NEXT WEEK: vs (20) Minnesota Thursday 6/29 430pm
4: *SPORTING KANSAS CITY (30pts 8W-4L-6D) SCORE: 8.1109 (+1.6564) PREVIOUS: 9 (+5) H2/L11
LAST WEEK: W 2-1 at LA Galaxy
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 21
NEXT WEEK: vs (9) Portland Saturday 7/1 4pm (ESPN)
5: *FC DALLAS (25pts 6W-3L-7D) SCORE: 7.3488 (+0.6458) PREVIOUS: 6 (+1) H1/L12
LAST WEEK: D 1-1 at Houston
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 7
NEXT WEEK: vs (2) Toronto Saturday 7/1 4pm
6: *ATLANTA UNITED (24pts 7W-7L-3D) SCORE: 6.955 (-1.0711) PREVIOUS: 4 (-2) H3/L12
LAST WEEK: L 2-1 at DC United, W 1-0 vs Colorado
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 8
NEXT WEEK: at (10) Columbus Saturday 7/1 430pm
7: *LOS ANGELES GALAXY (22pts 6W-6L-4D) SCORE: 6.3852 (-0.6662) PREVIOUS: 5 (-2) H3/L21
LAST WEEK: W 3-1 at Colorado, L 2-1 vs Kansas City
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 18
NEXT WEEK: at (12) San Jose Saturday 7/1 730pm (Univision, FB Live)
8: MONTREAL IMPACT (18pts 4W-5L-6D) SCORE: 6.3752 (-0.2386) PREVIOUS: 8 (NC) H6/L17
LAST WEEK: L 4-1 at Columbus
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 9
NEXT WEEK: vs (22) DC United Saturday 7/1 4pm
9: *PORTLAND TIMBERS (25pts 7W-7L-4D) SCORE: 6.3401 (+0.0615) PREVIOUS: 10 (+1) H1/L17
LAST WEEK: L 3-2 at Minnesota, D 2-2 vs Seattle
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 19
NEXT WEEK: at (4) Kansas City Saturday 7/1 4pm (ESPN)
10: *COLUMBUS CREW SC (25pts 8W-9L-1D) SCORE: 6.2563 (+0.9805) PREVIOUS: 16 (+6) H1/L16
LAST WEEK: W 4-1 vs Montreal
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 1
NEXT WEEK: vs (6) Atlanta Saturday 7/1 430pm
11: VANCOUVER WHITECAPS (21pts 6W-6L-3D) SCORE: 6.0805 (+0.2689) PREVIOUS: 14 (+2) H8/L22
LAST WEEK: D 2-2 at Minnesota
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 15
NEXT WEEK: at (1) Chicago Saturday 7/1 4pm
12: *SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES (23pts 6W-6L-5D) SCORE: 6.0142 (+0.753) PREVIOUS: 17 (+5) H5/L17
LAST WEEK: W 2-1 vs Real Salt Lake
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 10
NEXT WEEK: vs (7) LA Galaxy Saturday 7/1 730pm (Univision, FB Live)
13: *ORLANDO CITY SC (26pts 7W-6L-5D) SCORE: 5.9879 (+0.4519) PREVIOUS: 15 (+2) H2/L19
LAST WEEK: D 1-1 at Seattle, L 4-0 at Chicago
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 2
NEXT WEEK: at (21) Real Salt Lake Friday 6/30 630pm (ESPN)
14: *HOUSTON DYNAMO (25pts 7W-6L-4D) SCORE: 5.9869 (+0.1065) PREVIOUS: 13 (-1) H4/L17
LAST WEEK: D 1-1 vs Dallas
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 16
NEXT WEEK: at (19) Colorado Saturday 7/1 6pm
15: NEW YORK RED BULLS (23pts 7W-8L-2D) SCORE: 5.4693 (-0.5944) PREVIOUS: 11 (-4) H7/L19
LAST WEEK: L 2-0 vs New York City
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 11
NEXT WEEK: No League Match next week.
16: SEATTLE SOUNDERS (21pts 5W-7L-6D) SCORE: 5.4503 (-1.182) PREVIOUS: 7 (-9) H7/L17
LAST WEEK: D 1-1 vs Orlando, D 2-2 at Portland
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 4
NEXT WEEK: No League Match next week.
17: NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION (20pts 5W-7L-5D) SCORE: 5.1471 (-0.7513) PREVIOUS: 12 (-5) H5/L17
LAST WEEK: L 2-0 at Toronto
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 5
NEXT WEEK: at (18) Philadelphia Sunday 7/2 2pm (FS1)
18: PHILADELPHIA UNION (19pts 5W-7L-4D) SCORE: 4.4648 (+0.0073) PREVIOUS: 18 (NC) H6/L22
LAST WEEK: W 1-0 vs DC United
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 17
NEXT WEEK: vs (17) New England Sunday 7/2 2pm (FS1)
19: COLORADO RAPIDS (16pts 5W-10L-1D) SCORE: 4.0982 (-0.3417) PREVIOUS: 19 (NC) H17/L22
LAST WEEK: L 3-1 vs LA Galaxy, L 1-0 at Atlanta
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 14
NEXT WEEK: vs (14) Houston Satuday 7/1 6pm
20: MINNESOTA UNITED (18pts 5W-9L-3D) SCORE: 3.6298 (+1.3936) PREVIOUS: 22 (+2) H19/L22
LAST WEEK: W 3-2 vs Portland, D 2-2 vs Vancouver
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 12
NEXT WEEK: at (3) New York City Thursday 6/29 430pm
21: REAL SALT LAKE (17pts 5W-11L-2D) SCORE: 3.5057 (-0.0122) PREVIOUS: 20 (-1) H17/L21
LAST WEEK: L 2-1 at San Jose
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 6
NEXT WEEK: vs (13) Orlando Friday 6/30 630pm (ESPN)
22: DC UNITED (18pts 5W-9L-3D) SCORE: 3.4949 (+0.1298) PREVIOUS: 21 (-1) H8/L22
LAST WEEK: W 2-1 vs Atlanta, L 1-0 at Philadelphia
SCHEDULE STRENGTH: 3
NEXT WEEK: at (8) Montreal Saturday 7/1 4pm
PREDICTIONS
Last Week I went 6-9 (40%) Bringing my Season total to 52-80 (39.4%) I think I will still keep the equations the same (1.5pt bonus for home. If within 1 point call Draw) Since Changing to that formula 4 weeks ago I have gone 9-6, 0-3, 7-4, and 6-9 which is an even 22-22 If I can stay right around .500 when there are three possible outcomes to each match, I think I will be doing pretty well.
NYC at Minnesota: NEW YORK
Orlando at RSL: DRAW
Vancouver at Chicago: CHICAGO
Toronto at Dallas: TORONTO
Portland at Kansas City: KANSAS CITY
DC at Montreal: MONTREAL
Atlanta at Columbus: DRAW
Houston at Colorado: DRAW
LA at San Jose: SAN JOSE
New England at Philadelphia: DRAW