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Rose City Forecast 19: SKC vs PTFC

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MLS: Sporting KC at Portland Timbers Jaime Valdez-USA TODAY Sports

Well, that was brutal. Talk about draws that feel like losses. I won’t rehash too many of the painful details, but know that last week, the rivalry match ended in a 2-2 draw with goals from Dempsey, Joevin Jones, Asprilla, and Adi. There was also a red card to Brad Evans.

Surprisingly, though many of you predicted a draw, there were no 2-2 predictions, only 3-3 or 1-1. That gives lefthanded49 the pick of the week for getting three goalscorers, two assists, a combo of the previous, and under on cards (there were only three in the match, including the red). STYLES34 takes home the two points for most recommended pick of the week for his suggestion that Seattle would bring their MLS cup with them, and it would melt on the heat of the turf. Maybe then the Sounders would’ve focused on that and the Timbers could’ve put a shot on target in the second half.

My spreadsheet is messing with me, so IGNORE THE WEEKLY POINTS. Total points should be accurate, but weekly points aren’t. I’ll see if I can get it resolved before gametime, but it might not happen. Apologies.

Standings Game 18

Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Participant Total Points Weekly Points
STYLES34 86 0
Bosoxtjh18 85 0
Crafty_PDX 85 0
Schmadam08 76 0
TNOTTS 74 0
MacVanek 73 0
Z_thrilla 73 0
hoser!hoser! 71 0
Qoolio 71 0
richard.hamje 71 0
Rhyanoceras 70 0
GeorgeCorps17 68 3
shrekpdx 67 0
Independent_Cascadia 64 0
Weresquatch 64 0
Timber DT 63 0
UNOprivateer 63 0
RCTID26 61 0
deadjeff 57 0
Deschutes 57 6
landoid 57 0
MofoOG 56 0
MindfulCyclist 54 3
Withdrawn Striker 54 0
JonMc 53 0
my favorite axe 48 3
afreborg 45 0
Hendrik Johannes 45 0
MrMoody 45 0
PGHTimber 45 2
TheChooChooChin 45 0
lefhanded49 44 0
PenguinChe 44 0
Z-Whiz 43 0
dhenrichs 41 0
BarmyTarmy 40 3
4-5-2 38 1
straight red 38 0
Timber Dave 38 0
Webfooter17 38 0
product_placement 36 0
Put-Me-In-Coach 36 0
jackwiddy 31 1
James Bondo 31 2
YoBergo 30 0
picknroll222 26 0
TigardTimber 25 0
shenanigans 23 0
irisblue32 20 0
Tfetters 16 0
Walrus_Kasra 16 0
RCTIDnomatterwhat 15 0
mschofer 12 0
Hailfire97 10 0
Ibowyer 10 0
pdxsoccerdad 9 0
Andrew Collins 8 0
biggieswc 8 5
CubanDaywalker 8 0
Foggy4 8 3
hobbesoftheeast 8 5
lcpdx 8 0
LU_PDX 8 0
Hand Ride 7 0
Kaatmandu 7 0
KarlRadekBonk 7 0
living 7 0
YoYoBananas 7 0
Timbersox 6 0
Timber TKO 6 0
ScottyRiley 5 0
Jjwalker16 4 0
Ballast 3 2
BlazerTucker 3 0
JoeyinTimberland 3 0
KzooTimbers 0 0
0

On Saturday, the Timbers travel to Kansas City, to take on a team that’s almost as depleted from injuries and callups as they are. The Timbers will be without all their DM options, except Ben Zemanski as Chara is out with a hamstring injury, and Guzman is away with Costa Rica. Even the backup, Amobi Okugo is injured. Nagbe left the Sounders game with a hamstring injury and is questionable for this match. On the bright side, Blanco returns from suspension, and the team expects to have Mattocks and Powell, who have not yet left for the Jamaican National team. SKC will be without Feilheiber, Dwyer, Besler, and Zusi.

Over/under: 4.5 total cards

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most recommended/most outrageously accurate prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. Though I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (e.g., if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination you get a total of three points - 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores assisted by Adi and Adi scores assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction - 1 goal, 1 assist)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK. Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as a FK, and a FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

Most weeks, I will reward the most recommended prediction with the 2 points. However, if someone predicts that Caleb will bring a towel to dry off Seattle’s field, and he does, they’ll probably get those two points, regardless of whether they got the recs. We’ll also be testing this out, because I want to be careful that this doesn’t end up favoring the first few people to post their prediction. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.

Format:

In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners, eg: 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person.

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: no points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.)

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction.

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry Nagbe for the first time in three years, he kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.

As always, any questions about anything?