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SFPI MLS Week 19 Power Rankings

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Gold Cup Break and Technical Difficulties Edition

MLS: Orlando City SC at Chicago Fire Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome back from the Gold Cup Group stage break! The SFPI WAS going to take the chance to get some needed R&R in, however computer troubles that resulted in losing my entire spreadsheet prevented that. So it is fortunate that there was a break in the action. The league returns to action Wednesday July 19 with 7 matches. The biggest winner last week was Vancouver climbing 7 slots and the biggest losers were Montreal, and Orlando, both losing 6 spots. Biggest point increase was Real Salt Lake (+1.6704). Biggest point decrease was Colorado (-1.526).

COMPONENTS OF SFPI

PERFORMANCE SCORE: The part of the SFPI that takes a team on field performance into account, is made up of the following parts:

PPG Score: Teams overall Points Per Game added to Points Per Game over Last Five, with Last Five being given more weight. This is the single largest component of the SFPI

Goal Difference Per Game: A teams overall Goal Difference divided by games played.

Home/Away Bonus: Bonus points awarded for earning results (W/D) on the road, equal number of points subtracted for dropping results (D/L) at home. Accrues over entire season.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE: The average Performance Score of all of a teams opponents thus far. Weighted at less than 100%. Teams that are faced multiple times are counted multiple times (ex Portland has played Seattle twice, so Seattles Performance score is counted twice).

(All Times Pacific, *Denotes team is currently above Red Line)

1 *CHICAGO FIRE (38pts 11W-3L-5D) SCORE: 10.644 (+0.1136) PREV: 1 (NC) H1/L14

SCHEDULE: 18

LAST MATCH: D 2-2 at Portland

For only the second time in their current 11 game unbeaten streak the Fire had a lead in the second half and had to settle for a draw (the last time was game 1 of the current streak, also a 2-2 Draw at LA). Despite being down Dax and Basti, Chicago was able to put in a decent performance against an also shorthanded Portland team, and will feel unlucky to not walk away with all 3 points.

NEXT WEEK: at (4) New York City Saturday 7/22 11am

2 *TORONTO FC (38pts 11W-3L-5D) SCORE: 10.3015 (+0.7844) PREV: 3 (+1) H1/L10

SCHEDULE: 10

LAST MATCH: W 3-1 at Orlando

Jozy Altidore scored early, and Giovinco tallied a second half brace to bring his career total against Orlando to 8 (in his 7th match against The Lions) and Toronto won for the 10th time in their last 13 games.

NEXT WEEK: at (4) New York City Wednesday 7/19 430pm vs (21) Colorado Saturday 7/22 4pm

3 *ATLANTA UNITED (30pts 9W-7L-3D) SCORE: 9.4715 (+1.1347) PREV: 4 (+1) H3/L12

SCHEDULE: 8

LAST MATCH: W 4-2 vs San Jose

In a match delayed 30 minutes by lightning Atlanta scored 4 goals in the second half to win 4-2 at Bobby Dodd Stadium. Anton Walkes earned his first MLS goal as he bagged the winner in the 81st minute.

NEXT WEEK: at (13) Orlando Friday 7/21 4pm (ESPN)

4 *NEW YORK CITY FC (33pts 10W-6L-3D) SCORE: 9.4269 (-0.3735) PREV: 2 (-2) H2/L12

SCHEDULE: 21

LAST WEEK: L 3-2 at Vancouver

NYC had a 2-1 lead at halftime thanks to two late 1st half goals by Villa (PK) and Chanot, and with Pirlo back in the starting XI for the first time since mid May but will rue their inability to do a better job of defending in transition, but also their failure to prevent crosses. Both Vancouver second half goals were born from balls whipped in from the right, and NYCFC applied little-to-no pressure to the players that provided the service. Throw in the fact that New York City FC allowed open looks on the pair of chances, and you can see clearly just how poor of a defensive outing this was for the club.

NEXT WEEK: vs (2) Toronto Wednesday 7/19 430pm, vs (1) Chicago Saturday 7/22 11am

5 *FC DALLAS (31pts 8W-3L-7D) SCORE: 7.9278 (-0.0432) PREV: 6 (+1) H1/L12

SCHEDULE: 14

LAST MATCH: W 4-2 vs DC United

Roland Lamah's brace was part of four unanswered goals in 15 minutes of action for host FC Dallas, which cruised to a 4-2 win over D.C. United Tuesday night. Atiba Harris and Maximiliano Urruti also scored for Dallas, which trailed 1-0 in the first half before its barrage of goals that stretched from the late first half into early in the second. Dallas has now matched their longest win streak of the season, at two. They do have a favorable four game stretch upcoming though.

NEXT WEEK: at (14) Montreal Impact Saturday 7/22 430pm

6 *SPORTING KC (32pts 8W-4L-8D) SCORE: 7.1577 (-0.918) PREV: 5 (-1) H2/L11

SCHEDULE: 22

LAST MATCH: D 1-1 vs Philadelphia

Minus several players on International Duty again, SKC did just enough to earn a point at home, and remain unbeaten at Childrens Mercy Park on the year. Diego Rubio scored his first goal since last year's ACL tear on a gorgeous 20-yard curler, and US U-20 standout Erik Palmer-Brown made his first MLS start since 2015 for SKC.

NEXT WEEK: at (19) Real Salt Lake Saturday 7/22 7pm

7 SEATTLE SOUNDERS (24pts 6W-7L-6D) SCORE: 6.784 (+1.467) PREV: 13 (+6) H7/L17

SCHEDULE: 5

LAST MATCH: W 3-1 at Colorado

Clint Dempsey scored twice and added an assist as the visiting Seattle Sounders defeated the Colorado Rapids 3-1 on Independence Day in Commerce City. Dempsey put Seattle ahead after just six minutes when he beat his U.S. National Team teammate Tim Howard from eight yards out. Will Bruin doubled the lead at the half hour mark from close range after Rapids defender Eric Miller slipped. Seattle were also dealt two early blows as midfielder Osvaldo Alonso and defender Chad Marshall were forced out of the match with injuries by the 20th minute.

NEXT WEEK: vs (20) DC United Wednesday 7/19 730pm, vs (11) San Jose Sunday 7/23 730pm

8 NEW YORK RED BULLS (26pts 8W-8L-2D) SCORE: 6.6125 (+1.1412) PREV: 12 (+4) H7/L19

SCHEDULE: 12

LAST MATCH: W 3-2 at New England

Substitute Gonzalo Veron's 90th minute goal for the visiting New York Red Bulls shocked the host New England Revolution and the Gillette Stadium crowd as it snatched a victory for the Red Bulls in most dramatic fashion. Veron, who came on late in the second half to replace striker Bradley Wright-Phillips, ran on to a pass from Felipe and slotted it in the far corner past New England 'keeper Cody Cropper. It broke a 2-2 that had been forged after Daniel Royer converted a penalty in the 55th minute.

NEXT WEEK: vs (11) San Jose Wednesday 7/19 430pm at (22) Minnesota Saturday 7/22 1pm (ESPN)

9 *VANCOUVER WHITECAPS (24pts 7W-7L-3D) SCORE: 6.2143 (+1.2217) PREV: 16 (+7) H8/L22

SCHEDULE: 7

LAST MATCH: W 3-2 vs NYCFC

Freddy Montero scored in the 3rd minute and Yordy Reyna just introduced himself to the Vancouver Whitecaps' faithful in a big way. Reyna came off the bench and scored a dramatic game-winner late to push the Whitecaps to a 3-2 victory over New York City FC. The Peruvian attacker, playing in his first game at BC Place, opened his Vancouver account in the 87th minute of the thrilling encounter with a powerful header that soared to the far post and capped a second-half comeback.

10 *COLUMBUS CREW SC (28pts 9W-10L-1D) SCORE: 6.0997 (+0.4196) PREV: 11 (+1) H1/L16

SCHEDULE: 3

LAST WEEK: W 1-0 at Minnesota

A tactical chess match between Minnesota United and Columbus Crew SC looked destined to end in a scoreless draw for much of its entirety on Saturday. Kekuta Manneh disagreed. Manneh scored a second-half goal and that was enough for visiting Columbus to walk out of TCF Bank Stadium with a 1-0 win over Minnesota on Saturday night. Manneh struck in the 58th minute, dribbling up the field and taking advantage of the space given to him by rifling in a low effort from distance. Columbus earned its first clean sheet since May 31

NEXT WEEK: vs (16) Philadelphia Saturday 7/22 430pm

11 *SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES (26pts 7W-7L-5D) SCORE: 5.7663 (-0.2748) PREV: 9 (-2) H5/L17

SCHEDULE: 15

LAST WEEK: L 4-2 at Atlanta

Tommy Thompson earned his first MLS goal after 4 seasons in the league almost as fast as the lightning that delayed the game getting on the end of a deflected Wondo cross to put the Quakes up 1-0 after 2 minutes. Wondo also scored in the 66th minute to tie the game before the Quakes gave up two late goals to head home empty handed.

NEXT WEEK: at (8) NYRB Wednesday 7/19 430pm, at (7) Seattle Sunday 7/23 730pm

12 *HOUSTON DYNAMO (28pts 8W-7L-4D) SCORE: 5.6604 (+0.3461) PREV: 14 (+2) H4/L17

SCHEDULE: 16

LAST MATCH: W 3-1 vs Montreal

The Houston Dynamo jumped on the Montreal Impact early and never let up to claim a 3-1 win on a hot, muggy Wednesday night in south Texas. Andrew Wenger headed in a Mauro Manotas cross from the top of the six just 52 seconds into the game, and Alex doubled the lead after a long spell of possession twenty minutes later. Homegrown and former Dynamo academy forward Memo Rodriguez made it 3-0 with his first league goal, a driven shot from outside the box, six minutes after entering the match. Houston is unbeaten at home, yet still winless on the road, a two game road trip to Minnesota and DC coming up gives an excellent chance to change that.

NEXT WEEK: at (22) Minnesota Wednesday 7/19 5pm, at (20) DC United Saturday 7/22 4pm

13 *ORLANDO CITY SC (29pts 8W-7L-5D) SCORE: 5.6187 (-0.8459) PREV: 7 (-6) H2/L19

SCHEDULE: 2

LAST WEEK: L 3-1 vs Toronto

Orlando is winless (0-7-2) when they concede first and unbeaten (8-0-2) when they score first. That torrid start to the season is now a distant memory as they have only won twice in their last 13 matches.

NEXT WEEK: vs (3) Atlanta Friday 7/21 4pm (ESPN)

14 MONTREAL IMPACT FC (21pts 5W-6L-6D) SCORE: 5.528 (-0.9175) PREV: 8 (-6) H6/L17

SCHEDULE: 9

LAST MATCH: L 3-1 at Houston

Evan Bush made 8 saves, and Michael Salazar got a late consolation goal as The Impact were swamped in the hot humid Houston night.

NEXT WEEK: vs (16) Philadelphia Wednesday 7/19 430pm, vs (5) Dallas

15 *PORTLAND TIMBERS (27pts 7W-7L-6D) SCORE: 5.3069 (-0.6111) PREV: 10 (-5) H1/L17

SCHEDULE: 11

LAST MATCH: D 2-2 vs Chicago

There is both good and bad to be taken from this match. The bad is that for the second time this season they are on a 5 match winless streak, and they again took an early lead and couldn't hold on at home. The good is that they are on a 3 game unbeaten streak, and even though Chicago was shorthanded, Portland was even more shorthanded and they found a way to fight back after trailing in the second half, whether or not this is a sign of the team starting to gel is yet to be seen.

NEXT WEEK: vs (19) Real Salt Lake Wednesday 7/19 730pm, at (9) Vancouver Sunday 7/23 330pm (FS1)

16 PHILADELPHIA UNION (23pts 6W-7L-5D) SCORE: 4.9952 (+0.4157) PREV: 18 (+2) H6/L22

SCHEDULE: 19

LAST MATCH: D 1-1 at Kansas City

John McCarthy made six saves in an exceptional 90 minutes of fill-in duty for Andre Blake, Roland Alberg leveled on a second-half penalty earned by C.J. Sapong and the Philadelphia Union clawed to a 1-1 away draw against Sporting Kansas City on Thursday night. The Union are now on a 3 game unbeaten streak as they try to get back into the playoffs. They currently sit 5 points back of Columbus with two games in hand.

NEXT WEEK: at (14) Montreal Wednesday 7/19 430pm, at (10) Columbus Saturday 7/22 430pm

17 LOS ANGELES GALAXY (22pts 6W-8L-4D) SCORE: 4.0874 (-1.1759) PREV: 15 (-2) H3/L21

SCHEDULE: 20

LAST MATCH: L 6-2 vs Real Salt Lake

The Galaxy gave up SIX goals (4 of them in the 2nd half) at home for the first time since 2009. LA is 1-5-3 at home this year, their record for most home losses in a season is 6 which has happened four times; in 1997, 2006, 2007, and 2012.

NEXT WEEK: vs (9) Vancouver Wednesday 7/19 730pm, at (18) New England Saturday 7/22 430pm

18 NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION (20pts 5W-9L-5D) SCORE: 3.963 (-0.7349) PREV: 17 (-1) H5/L18

SCHEDULE: 4

LAST MATCH: L 3-2 vs NYRB

The Revs went up 2-1 after a 5 minute goal scoring flurry by both teams starting with Teal Bunbury scoring at 21 minutes and ending with Lee Nguyen netting in the 26th. Then New England watched their lead disappear in the 55th minute and were given a dagger at the 90th. They have now lost 4 straight.

NEXT WEEK: vs (17) LA Saturday 7/22 430pm

19 REAL SALT LAKE (20pts 6W-12L-2D) SCORE: 3.6972 (+1.6704) PREV: 22 (+3) H17/L22

SCHEDULE: 6

LAST MATCH: W 6-2 at LA

Real Salt Lake scored six goals in a league match for just the second time in franchise history and became the second team in MLS history to score six against the LA Galaxy in a stunning 6-2 victory on Independence Day evening at the StubHub Center. Jefferson Savarino hit a pair of second-half goals. Ablert Rusnak, Kyle Beckerman, Yura Movsisyan and Joao Plata each added one goal apiece. Four of Salt Lake's six strikes came after halftime as the Claret and Cobalt halted a two-game losing skid.

NEXT WEEK: at (15) Portland Wednesday 7/19 730pm, vs (6) Kansas City Saturday 7/22 7pm

20 DC UNITED (18pts 5W-11L-3D) SCORE: 3.1384 (-0.3595) PREV: 20 (NC) H8/L22

SCHEDULE: 1

LAST MATCH: L 4-2 at Dallas

For the first time this season DC scored a goal (TWO even) and lost, they had previously been 5-0-1 when they scored, they even scored first in the game, but in the 20 minutes surrounding halftime their defense betrayed them and was ultimately their undoing.

NEXT WEEK: at (7) Seattle, Wednesday 7/19 730pm, vs (12) Houston Saturday 7/22 4pm

21 COLORADO RAPIDS (19pts 6W-11L-1D) SCORE: 2.6409 (-1.526) PREV: 19 (-2)

SCHEDULE: 17

LAST MATCH: L 3-1 vs Seattle

After a brief spell that saw Colorado win 3 straight and 4 of 6 the Rapids are quickly regressing back to their mean. They gave up two first half goals and while Badji gave them some hope late in the match, they weren't able to find an equalizer and eventually conceded the sealer.

NEXT WEEK: at (2) Toronto Saturday 7/22 4pm

22 MINNESOTA UNITED (18pts 5W-11L-3D) SCORE: 1.9214 (-0.7128) PREV: 21 (-1) H19/L22

SCHEDULE: 13

LAST MATCH: L 1-0 vs Columbus

This encounter was a chess match from the start, as both Minnesota United and Columbus Crew SC started the game with different formations than usual. That led to a long feeling out process in which neither side created much danger, especially in what was a lackluster first half. Things picked up slightly in the second half when Minnesota switched their look and started taking more risks, but neither side was overwhelmingly impressive in the final third. In the end though, Minnesotas defense, while much improved from the start of the year (having given up 12 over their last 6 matches compared to 13 in their first 3), still let them down yet again.

NEXT WEEK: vs (12) Houston Wednesday 7/19 5pm, vs (8) NYRB Saturday 7/22 1pm (ESPN)

PREDICTIONS

The SFPI went 3-8 (27.3%) to bring season total to 59-94 (38.6%) I am going to tweak the formula a little bit now again, as I am apparently still not giving home teams enough credit. So now it is a 1.75 point bonus for home teams, still if within 1 point call a draw.

Philadelphia at Montreal: MONTREAL

San Jose at NYRB: NYRB

Toronto at NYCFC: DRAW

Houston at Minnesota: HOUSTON

Vancouver at LA: DRAW

Salt Lake at Portland: PORTLAND

DCU at Seattle: SEATTLE

Atlanta at Orlando: ATLANTA

Chicago at NYCFC: DRAW

NYRB at Minnesota: NYRB

Houston at DCU: DRAW

Colorado at Toronto: TORONTO

Philadelphia at Columbus: COLUMBUS

FC Dallas at Montreal: DRAW

LA at New England: NEW ENGLAND

Kansas City at Salt Lake: KANSAS CITY

Portland at Vancouver: VANCOUVER

San Jose at Seattle: SEATTLE