Another MLS week in the books, but a week that has been overshadowed by real world events. The SFPI will remain apolitical (despite its author holding very strong politcal views) other than to say love one another. In these trying times, be kind to each other, help each other, be the person you want to see others be, help make America, and the world, better through love and tolerance, not through violence, fear, and hate.
Another week that did not see much movement, as teams seem to be settling into their groups and holding steady as 10 of the 22 teams maintained their positions and another 6 only moved one slot.
Our biggest winner this week was Montreal climbing back up 4 spots to #10 after dismantling Philadelphia on the road. The biggest loser was Vancouver, falling 4 spots after a tough loss at New England.
COMPONENTS OF SFPI
PERFORMANCE SCORE: The part of the SFPI that is 100% determined by a teams performance on the field.
Ppg Score: Overall points per game added to points per game over last five. Last five is given more weight. Single largest component of SFPI
Goal Difference per Game: Overall Goal difference divided by games played.
Home/Away Bonus: Bonus points added for earning results (W/D) on the road. Points taken away for dropping results (D/L) at home. Accrues over entire season, so that home loss in March will still hurt you come October.
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE:
Average Performance score of all opponents faced thus far. Accounts for Road games by adding a percentage of a teams Home PPG to the performance score, weighted at less than 100%. For example if a team were to play Toronto at home only their performance score (currently 7.875) would be counted. If they were to play them on the road, 20% of Toronto's Home PPG would be added making their effective score 8.375.
Teams that are faced multiple times are counted multiple times.
TOTAL SCORE:
Performance Score and Strength of Schedule are added together to make a teams Total Score. Teams are then ranked in order from highest to lowest.
NEW FEATURE: Remaining Strength of Schedule by Conference. Will put how strong a teams remaining schedule is relative to other teams in their conference, as that will determine ease of maintaining or climbing position.
(all times Pacific, * Denotes currently above Red Line)
1 *TORONTO FC (47pts 13W-3L-8D) SCORE: 10.4218 (+0.1184) PREV: 1 (NC) H1/L10
SCHEDULE: 16 (+2) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 8 (+4) (6e) OVERALL PACE: 66 (+2)
GAMES REMAINING: 10 CONSECUTIVE WEEKS AT #1: 4
LAST WEEK: W 4-1 vs Portland NEXT WEEK: at (6) Chicago Sat 8/19 5pm
2 *ATLANTA UNITED (35pts 10W-7L-5D) SCORE: 9.6264 (-0.0566) PREV: 2 (NC) H2/L12
SCHEDULE: 10 (+2) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 21 (+1) (11e) OVERALL PACE: 54 (NC)
GAMES REMAINING:12 LAST WEEK: No League Match NEXT WEEK: No League match
3 *NEW YORK CITY FC (43pts 13W-7L-4D) SCORE: 9.5345 (+1.2447) PREV: 6 (+3) H2/L12
SCHEDULE: 17 (-7) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 7 (+8) (5e) OVERALL PACE: 60 (+1)
GAMES REMAINING: 10
LAST WEEK: W 2-0 at LA Galaxy NEXT WEEK: vs 14 New England Sun 8/20 3pm
4 *SEATTLE SOUNDERS (37pts 10W-7L-8D) SCORE: 9.4504 (+0.0897) PREV: 3 (-1) H3/L17
SCHEDULE: 12 (+4) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 22 (-2) (11w) OVERALL PACE: 52 (+2)
GAMES REMAINING: 10
LAST WEEK: W 1-0 vs Kansas City NEXT WEEK: vs (21) Minnesota Sun 8/20 7pm (FS1)
5 *NEW YORK RED BULLS (38pts 12W-9L-2D) SCORE: 8.7923 (+0.1737) PREV: 5 (NC) H2/L12
SCHEDULE: 19 (NC) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 10 (-4) (7e) OVERALL PACE: 56 (+2)
GAMES REMAINING: 11
LAST WEEK: W 3-1 vs Orlando NEXT WEEK: at (12) Portland Fri 8/18 7pm (FS1)
6 *CHICAGO FIRE (41pts 12W-6L-5D) SCORE: 8.0324 (-1.0644) PREV: 4 (-2) H1/L14
SCHEDULE: 5 (+4) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 13 (+6) (8e) OVERALL PACE: 60 (-3)
GAMES REMAINING: 11
LAST WEEK: L 3-1 at Columbus. NEXT WEEK: at (10) Montreal Wed 8/16 430pm vs (1) Toronto Sat 8/19 5pm
7 *HOUSTON DYNAMO (37pts 10W-7L-7D) SCORE: 7.7068 (+0.0775) PREV: 8 (+1) H4/L17
SCHEDULE: 21 (-1) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 17 (-1) (8w) OVERALL PACE 56 (+2)
GAMES REMAINING: 10
LAST WEEK: W 3-0 vs San Jose NEXT WEEK: at (13) Vancouver Sat 8/19 7pm
8 *SPORTING KANSAS CITY (37pts 9W-5L-10D) SCORE: 7.1047 (-0.5243) PREV: 10 (+2) H2/L11
SCHEDULE: 22 (NC) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 12 (-2) (5w) OVERALL PACE: 52 (-2)
GAMES REMAINING: 10
LAST WEEK: L 1-0 at Seattle NEXT WEEK: vs (9) Dallas Sat 8/19 530pm
9 *FC DALLAS (35pts 9W-5L-8D) SCORE: 7.0625 (-0.9767) PREV: 7 (-2) H1/L12
SCHEDULE: 15 (-2) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 14 (+4) (6w) OVERALL PACE: 54 (-1)
GAMES REMAINING: 12
LAST WEEK: D 0-0 vs Colorado NEXT WEEK: at (8) Kansas City Sat 8/19 530pm
10 MONTREAL IMPACT (30pts 8W-8L-6D) SCORE: 6.6704 (+1.3359) PREV: 14 (+4) H6/L17
SCHEDULE: 13 (-5) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 2 (+1) (2e) OVERALL PACE: 46 (+3)
GAMES REMAINING: 10
LAST WEEK: W 3-0 at Philadelphia NEXT WEEK: VS (6) Chicago Wed 8/16 430pm vs (16) Salt Lake Sat 8/19 430pm
11 *COLUMBUS CREW (35pts 11W-12L-2D) SCORE: 6.584 (+0.2461) PREV: 12 (+1) H1/L16
SCHEDULE: 3 (NC) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 19 (-8) (10e) OVERALL PACE: 47 (+2)
GAMES REMAINING: 9
LAST WEEK: W 3-1 vs Chicago NEXT WEEK: at (18) Orlando Sat 8/19 430pm
12 *PORTLAND TIMBERS (34pts 9W-9L-7D) SCORE: 6.545 (-0.468) PREV: 11 (-1) H1/L17
SCHEDULE: 9 (+5) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 16 (-8) (8w) OVERALL PACE: 46 (-2)
GAMES REMAINING: 9
LAST WEEK: L 4-1 at Toronto NEXT WEEK: vs (5) New York RB Friday 8/18 7pm (FS1)
13 VANCOUVER WHITECAPS (31pts 9W-9L-4D) SCORE: 6.5015 (-1.1275) PREV: 9 (-4) H8/L22
SCHEDULE: 20 (-3) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 9 (+4) (3w) OVERALL PACE: 47 (-3)
GAMES REMAINING: 12
LAST WEEK: L 1-0 at New England. NEXT WEEK: vs (7) Houston Sat 8/19 7pm
14 NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION (29pts 8W-10L-5D) SCORE: 6.0715 (+0.8763) PREV: 15 (+1) H5/L18
SCHEDULE: 4 (NC) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 3 (+2) (3e) OVERALL PACE: 42 (+2)
GAMES REMAINING: 11
LAST WEEK: W 1-0 vs Vancouver. NEXT WEEK: at (3) New York City Sun 8/20 3pm
15 *SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES (32pts 9W-10L-5D) SCORE: 5.488 (-0.1653) PREV: 13 (-2) H5/L17
SCHEDULE: 7 (+4) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 20 (-3) (10w) OVERALL PACE: 45 (-2)
GAMES REMAINING: 10
LAST WEEK: L 3-0 at Houston NEXT WEEK: vs (17) Philadelphia Sat 8/19 730pm
16 REAL SALT LAKE (29pts 8W-12L-5D) SCORE: 5.4723 (+0.3078) PREV: 16 (NC) H16/L22
SCHEDULE: 14 (-9) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 18 (+3) (9w) OVERALL PACE: 39 (+3)
GAMES REMAINING: 9
LAST WEEK: W 1-0 at DC NEXT WEEK: at (10) Montreal Sat 8/19 430pm
17 PHILADELPHIA UNION (29pts 8W-11L-5D) SCORE: 4.2788 (-0.551) PREV: 17 (NC) H6/L22
SCHEDULE: 18 (+3) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 1 (NC) (1e) OVERALL PACE: 41 (-1)
GAMES REMAINING: 10
LAST WEEK: L 3-0 vs Montreal NEXT WEEK: at (15) San Jose Sat 8/19 730pm
18 ORLANDO CITY SC (30pts 8W-10L-6D) SCORE: 4.0044 (-0.8126) PREV: 18 (NC) H2/L19
SCHEDULE: 1 (+1) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 15 (-6) (9e) OVERALL PACE: 42 (-2)
GAMES REMAINING: 10
LAST WEEK: L 3-1 at New York RB NEXT WEEK: vs (11) Columbus Sat 8/19 430pm
19 COLORADO RAPIDS (22pts 6W-12L-4D) SCORE: 2.2671 (-0.559) PREV: 19 (NC) H17/L22
SCHEDULE: 8 (-2) REMAINING SCHEDULE 11 (-4) (4w) OVERALL PACE: 34 (NC)
GAMES REMAINING: 12
LAST WEEK: D 0-0 at Dallas. NEXT WEEK: vs (22) DC Sat 8/19 6pm
20 LOS ANGELES GALAXY (23pts 6W-12L-5D) SCORE: 2.1005 (-0.6326) PREV: 20 (NC) H3/L21
SCHEDULE: 11 (+4) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 6 (+8) (2w) OVERALL PACE: 34 (-1)
GAMES REMAINING: 11
LAST WEEK: L 2-0 vs New York City NEXT WEEK: No League Match
21 MINNESOTA UNITED (22pts 6W-13L-4D) SCORE: 1.1079 (-0.0688) PREV: 22 (+1) H19/L22
SCHEDULE: 6 (+1) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 4 (-2) (1w) OVERALL PACE: 32 (NC)
GAMES REMAINING: 11
LAST WEEK: No League Match NEXT WEEK: at (4) Seattle Sun 8/20 7pm (FS1)
22 DC UNITED (19pts 5W-15L-4D) SCORE: 1.0703 (-0.5462) PREV: 21 (-1) H8/L22
SCHEDULE: 2 (-1) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 5 (-1) (4e) OVERALL PACE: 26 (-2)
GAMES REMAINING: 10
LAST WEEK: L 1-0 vs Vancouver NEXT WEEK: at (19) Colorado Sat 8/19 6pm
PREDICTIONS:
Last week the SFPI went 6-4 (60%) to go over .500 for the second straight week! That brings the season total to 87-117 (42.6%). Unfortunately I forgot that Chicago and Montreal had a midweek game, however in the interest of fairness I will still post the prediction even though it was wrong.
Chicago at Montreal: DRAW
New York RB at Portland: DRAW
RSL at Montreal: MONTREAL
Columbus at Orlando: DRAW
Toronto at Chicago: DRAW
Dallas at Kansas City: KANSAS CITY
DC at Colorado: COLORADO
Houston at Vancouver: DRAW
Philadelphia at San Jose: SAN JOSE
New England at New York City: NEW YORK
Minnesota at Seattle: SEATTLE
PLAYOFF PICTURE: If my predictions go 100% how will the tables look:
(* clinched playoff **Clinched Home Game *** Clinched Bye # eliminated)
EAST
1 Toronto 48
2 New York City 46
3 Chicago 43
4 New York RB 39
5 Columbus 36
6 Atlanta 35
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7 Montreal 34
8 Orlando 31
T9 Philadelphia 29 (will depend on result to determine tiebreaker, as Philly currently leads GD 1-0)
T9 New England 29
11 DC 19
WEST:
1 Seattle 40 (Total Wins)
2 Kansas City 40
3 Houston 38
4 San Jose 35 (Total Wins)
5 Dallas 35 (Goal Difference)
6 Portland 35
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7 Vancouver 32
8 Salt Lake 29
9 Colorado 25
10 LA 23
11 Minnesota 22
TIMBERS ROOTING INTEREST
Assuming a Timbers Win, what games should we pay attention to, and what is the best result for Portland (basically, if the week breaks 100% for Portland)
RSL at Montreal: MONTREAL
Dallas at Kansas City: DRAW
Houston at Vancouver: DRAW
Philadelphia at San Jose: PHILADELPHIA
Minnesota at Seattle: MINNESOTA
1 Houston 38 (Total Wins)
2 Kansas City 38
3 Seattle 37 (Goal Difference)
4 Portland 37
5 Dallas 36
6 Vancouver 32 (Goal Difference)
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7 San Jose 32
8 Salt Lake 29
9 Colorado 25 (Goal Difference)
10 Minnesota 25
11 LA 23