clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

SFPI MLS Week 24 Power Rankings

Total Eclipse Edition

MLS: Colorado Rapids at Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers fans celebrate after a goal during the first half against the Colorado Rapids at Providence Park
Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

The week in MLS was great, with several result-clinching stoppage time goals, but the Total Eclipse on Monday was even better, and for those that were able to witness totality (such as myself) it was a truly awe inspiring moment. I feel sorry for those that missed it, as the difference between 99.6% and 100% is (sorry) night and day. But anyway, to the Rankings! A little more movement this week as only 8 teams stayed put and 4 moved only one spot.

The biggest winners were Montreal and Portland both climbing 4 spots. The biggest loser Chicago, falling 4 spots as they have only won once in their last 7 games.

COMPONENTS OF SFPI

PERFORMANCE SCORE: Determined 100% by performance on the field

Ppg Score: Combines at teams total Points Per Game with their Points Per Game over Last Five. With Last Five given more weight. Single largest component of the SFPI

Goal Difference Per Game: Overall GD divided by Games Played

Home/Away Bonus: Bonus points awarded for earning results (W/D) on the road, points subtracted for dropping results (D/L) at home. Accrues over entire season.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE: Average Performance Scores of all of a teams opponents thus far, weighted at less than 100% Also accounts for games on the road by adding a % of a teams Home PPG to their performance score when faced on the road.

TOTAL SCORE: Combine Performance Score and Strength of Schedule to create a teams Total Score. Teams are then ranked in order from Highest to Lowest.

(all times Pacific, *Denotes Above Red Line)

1 *TORONTO FC (50pts 14W-3L-8D) SCORE: 11.635 (+1.2132) PREV: 1 (NC) H1/L10

SCHEDULE: 17 (-1) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 9 (-1) (7 East) OVERALL PACE: 68 (+2)

GAMES REMAINING: 9 CONSECUTIVE WEEKS AT #1: 5

LAST WEEK: W 3-1 at Chicago

NEXT WEEK: vs (17) Philadelphia Wed 8/23 5pm at (6) Montreal Sun 8/27 130pm (ESPN)

2 *NEW YORK CITY (46pts 14W-7L-4D) SCORE: 10.2346 (+0.7001) PREV: 3 (+1) H2/L12

SCHEDULE: 18 (-1) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 7 (NC) (5 East) OVERALL PACE: 62 (+2)

GAMES REMAINING: 9

LAST WEEK: W 2-1 vs New England. NEXT WEEK: at (5) New York RB Friday 8/25 4pm (ESPN)

3 ATLANTA UNITED (35pts 10W-7L-2D) SCORE: 9.7227 (+0.0963) PREV: 2 (-1) H2/L12

SCHEDULE: 7 (+3) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 21 (NC) (10 East) OVERALL PACE: 54 (NC)

GAMES REMAINING: 12

LAST WEEK: No League Match.

NEXT WEEK: at (19) DC United Wed 8/23 430pm, at (17) Philadelphia Sat 8/26 4pm

4 *SEATTLE SOUNDERS (40pts 11W-7L-7D) SCORE: 9.4783 (+0.0279) PREV: 4 (NC) H3/L17

SCHEDULE: 20 (-8) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 22 (NC) (10 West) OVERALL PACE: 54 (+2)

GAMES REMAINING: 9

LAST WEEK: W 2-1 vs Minnesota.

NEXT WEEK: at (11) Vancouver Wed 8/23 7pm vs (8) Portland Sun 8/27 630pm (FS1)

5 *NEW YORK RED BULLS (38pts 12W-10L-2D) SCORE: 7.9067 (-0.8856) PREV: 5 (NC) H2/L12

SCHEDULE: 12 (+7) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 8 (+2) (6 East) OVERALL PACE: 53 (-3)

GAMES REMAINING: 10

LAST WEEK: L 2-0 at Portland. NEXT WEEK: vs (2) New York City Fri 8/25 4pm (ESPN)

6 *MONTREAL IMPACT (36pts 10W-8L-6D) SCORE: 7.899 (+1.2286) PREV: 10 (+4) H6/L17

SCHEDULE: 19 (-6) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 2 (NC) (2 East) OVERALL PACE: 51 (+5)

GAMES REMAINING: 10

LAST WEEK: W 3-0 vs Chicago, W 3-1 vs Salt Lake

NEXT WEEK: vs (1) Toronto Sun 8/27 130pm (ESPN)

7 *SPORTING KANSAS CITY (40pts 10W-5L-10D) SCORE: 7.803 (+0.6983) PREV: 8 (+1) H2/L11

SCHEDULE: 22 (NC) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 13 (-1) (5 West) OVERALL PACE: 54 (+2)

GAMES REMAINING: 9

LAST WEEK: W 2-0 vs Dallas NEXT WEEK: at (9) Houston Sat 8/26 6pm

8 *PORTLAND TIMBERS (37pts 10W-9L-7D) SCORE: 7.5704 (+1.0254) PREV: 12 (+4) H1/L17

SCHEDULE: 11 (-2) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 17 (-1) (7 West) OVERALL PACE: 48 (+2)

GAMES REMAINING: 8

LAST WEEK: W 2-0 vs New York RB

NEXT WEEK: vs (21) Colorado Wed 8/23 730pm at (4) Seattle Sun 8/27 630pm (FS1)

9 *HOUSTON DYNAMO (37pts 10W-8L-7D) SCORE: 7.3305 (-0.3763) PREV: 7 (-2) H4/L17

SCHEDULE: 21 (NC) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 16 (+1) (6 West) OVERALL PACE: 50 (-2)

GAMES REMAINING: 9

LAST WEEK: L 2-1 at Vancouver

NEXT WEEK: at (12) Dallas Wed 8/23 5pm vs (7) Kansas City Sat 8/26 6pm

10 *CHICAGO FIRE (41pts 12W-8L-5D) SCORE: 7.0943 (-0.9381) PREV: 6 (-4) H1/L14

SCHEDULE: 4 (+1) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 14 (-1) (9 East) OVERALL PACE: 55 (-5)

GAMES REMAINING: 9

LAST WEEK: L 3-0 at Montreal, L 3-1 vs Toronto NEXT WEEK: vs (22) Minnesota Sat 8/26 530pm

11 *VANCOUVER WHITECAPS (34pts 10W-9L-4D) SCORE: 6.7136 (+0.2121) PREV: 13 (+2) H8/L22

SCHEDULE: 15 (+5) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 12 (-3) (4 West) OVERALL PACE: 50 (+3)

GAMES REMAINING: 11

LAST WEEK: W 2-1 vs Houston

NEXT WEEK: vs (4) Seattle Wed 8/23 7pm at (18) Orlando Sat 8/26 430pm

12 *FC DALLAS (35pts 9W-6L-8D) SCORE: 6.1967 (-0.8658) PREV: 9 (-3) H1/L12

SCHEDULE: 9 (+6) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 18 (-4) (4 West) OVERALL PACE: 51 (-3)

GAMES REMAINING: 11

LAST WEEK: L 2-0 at Kansas City.

NEXT WEEK: vs (9) Houston Wed 8/23 5pm, at (12) Columbus Sat 8/26 430pm

13 *COLUMBUS CREW (36pts 11W-12L-3D) SCORE: 6.1092 (-0.4748) PREV: 11 (-2) H1/L16

SCHEDULE: 3 (NC) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 15 (+4) (9 East) OVERALL PACE: 47 (NC)

GAMES REMAINING: 10

LAST WEEK: D 1-1 at Orlando

NEXT WEEK: vs (20) Los Angeles Wed 8/23 430 vs (12) Dallas Sat 8/26 430pm

14 NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION (29pts 8W-11L-5D) SCORE: 5.983 (-0.0885) PREV: 14 (NC) H5/L18

SCHEDULE: 5 (-1) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 1 (+2) (1 East) OVERALL PACE: 41 (-1)

GAMES REMAINING: 10

LAST WEEK: L 2-1 at New York City. NEXT WEEK: at (19) DC United Sat 8/26 4pm

15 SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES (33pts 9W-10L-6D) SCORE: 5.4611 (-0.0269) PREV: 15 (NC) H5/L17

SCHEDULE: 8 (-1) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 19 (+1) (8 West) OVERALL PACE: 45 (NC)

GAMES REMAINING: 9

LAST WEEK: D 2-2 vs Philadelphia

NEXT WEEK: at (16) Salt Lake Wed 8/23 7pm, at (20) Los Angeles Sun 8/27 4pm (FS1)

16 REAL SALT LAKE (29pts 8W-13L-5D) SCORE: 4.5307 (-0.9416) PREV: 16 (NC) H16/L22

SCHEDULE: 14 (NC) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 20 (-2) (9 West) OVERALL PACE: 37 (-2)

GAMES REMAINING: 8

LAST WEEK: L 3-1 at Montreal

NEXT WEEK: vs (15) San Jose Wed 8/23 7pm, vs (21) Colorado Sat 8/26 7pm

17 PHILADELPHIA UNION (30pts 8W-11L-6D) SCORE: 4.4911 (+0.2123) PREV: 17 (NC) H6/L22

SCHEDULE: 10 (+8) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 4 (-3) (3 East) OVERALL PACE: 41 (NC)

GAMES REMAINING: 9

LAST WEEK: D 2-2 at San Jose

NEXT WEEK: at (1) Toronto Wed 8/23 5pm vs (3) Atlanta Sat 8/26 4pm

18 ORLANDO CITY SC (31pts 8W-10L-7D) SCORE: 4.1811 (+0.1767) PREV: 18 (NC) H2/L19

SCHEDULE: 1 (NC) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 11 (+4) (8 East) OVERALL PACE: 42 (-1)

GAMES REMAINING: 9

LAST WEEK: D 1-1 vs Columbus NEXT WEEK: vs (11) Vancouver Sat 8/26 430pm

19 DC UNITED (22pts 6W-15L-4D) SCORE: 2.5446 (+1.4743) PREVIOUS: 22 (+3) H8/L22

SCHEDULE: 2 (NC) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 6 (-1) (4 East) OVERALL PACE: 29 (+3)

GAMES REMAINING: 9

LAST WEEK: W 1-0 at Colorado

NEXT WEEK: vs (3) Atlanta Wed 8/23 430pm vs (14) New England Sat 8/26 4pm

20 LOS ANGELES GALAXY (23pts 6W-12L-5D) SCORE: 2.1133 (+0.0128) PREV: 20 (NC) H3/L21

SCHEDULE: 13 (-2) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 10 (-4) (3 West) OVERALL PACE: 34 (NC)

GAMES REMAINING: 11

LAST WEEK: No League Match

NEXT WEEK: at (13) Columbus Wed 8/23 430pm vs (15) San Jose Sun 8/27 4pm (FS1)

21 COLORADO RAPIDS (22pts 6W-13L-4D) SCORE: 1.5123 (-0.7548) PREV: 19 (-2) H17/L22

SCHEDULE: 16 (-8) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 5 (+6) (2 West) OVERALL PACE: 32 (-2)

GAMES REMAINING: 11

LAST WEEK: L 1-0 vs DC United

NEXT WEEK: at (8) Portland Wed 8/23 730pm at (16) Salt Lake Sat 8/26 7pm

22 MINNESOTA UNITED (22pts 6W-14L-4D) SCORE: 1.1962 (+0.0883) PREV: 21 (-1) H19/L22

SCHEDULE: 6 (NC) REMAINING SCHEDULE: 3 (+1) (1 West) OVERALL PACE: 31 (-1)

GAMES REMAINING: 10

LAST WEEK: L 2-1 at Seattle NEXT WEEK: at (10) Chicago Sat 8/26 530pm

PREDICTIONS

Last week the SFPI went 5-6 (45.45%) to bring season total to 92-123 (42.8%). Still around .500 so keeping the same formula (+1.75pts for home team. Within 1 point is draw.

Los Angeles at Columbus: COLUMBUS

Atlanta at DC: ATLANTA

Houston at Dallas: DRAW

Philadelphia at Toronto: TORONTO

San Jose at Salt Lake: DRAW

Seattle at Vancouver: SEATTLE

Colorado at Portland: PORTLAND

New York City at New York RB: DRAW

New England at DC: NEW ENGLAND

Atlanta at Philadelphia: ATLANTA

Dallas at Columbus: COLUMBUS

Vancouver at Orlando: DRAW

Minnesota at Chicago: CHICAGO

Kansas City at Houston: HOUSTON

Colorado at Salt Lake: SALT LAKE

Toronto at Montreal: TORONTO

San Jose at Los Angeles: SAN JOSE

Portland at Seattle: SEATTLE

PLAYOFF PICTURE: If my predictions are 100% correct what will the Tables look like?

(*Clinched Playoff **Clinched Home Game ***Clinched Bye # Eliminated)

EAST

1 TORONTO 56

2 NEW YORK CITY 47

3 CHICAGO 44

4 COLUMBUS 42

5 ATLANTA 41

6 NEW YORK RB 39

-------------------------------

7 MONTREAL 36

8 NEW ENGLAND 32 (Total Wins)

9 ORLANDO 32

10 PHILADELPHIA 30

11 DC UNITED 22

WEST

1 SEATTLE 46

2 HOUSTON 41

3 PORTLAND 40 (Total Wins)

4 KANSAS CITY 40

5 SAN JOSE 37

6 DALLAS 36

---------------------------

7 VANCOUVER 35

8 SALT LAKE 33

9 LOS ANGELES 23

10 COLORADO 22 (Goal Difference)

11 MINNESOTA 22

TIMBERS ROOTING INTEREST: Assuming Timbers win both games this week, what games to pay attention to, and how should we root. Basically if this week goes 100% Portland’s way

LA at Columbus: COLUMBUS

Houston at Dallas: DRAW

Salt Lake at San Jose: DRAW

Seattle at Vancouver: BC PLACE TO BE SWALLOWED WHOLE BY THE EARTH. (DRAW is also acceptable, I guess)

Dallas at Columbus: COLUMBUS

Vancouver at Orlando: ORLANDO

Kansas City at Houston: DRAW

Colorado at Salt Lake: COLORADO

San Jose at Los Angeles: LOS ANGELES

TABLE

1 PORTLAND 43

2 SEATTLE 41 (Total Wins)

3 KANSAS CITY 41

4 HOUSTON 39

5 DALLAS 36

6 VANCOUVER 35

--------------------------------

7 SAN JOSE 34

8 SALT LAKE 30

9 LOS ANGELES 26

10 COLORADO 25

11 MINNESOTA 22