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Rose City Forecast 28: SSFC vs PTFC

MLS: Seattle Sounders FC at Portland Timbers Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome back to the Forecast after a successful week in Portland. The Timbers held out against Colorado - keeping Alan Gordon from his stoppage-time antics - to get a 2-1 win for their second victory in as many matches. All the scoring came between the 20th and 30th minutes of the game, started by Valeri’s fourth headed goal of the year in the 21st. Nagbe followed with a gorgeous chip in the 23rd, and Colorado retaliated in the 28th. PTFC had a chance to get a third goal when Valeri was fouled in the box, but David Guzman missed his PK. Chara and Guzman both got yellows, but despite getting called for 19 fouls, Colorado escaped with zero cards.

Several of you called the correct 2-1 scoreline, but STYLES34 edged out the rest for pick of the week by also calling a Valeri goal and under on cards. With this pick, STYLES34 has opened up a 21-point lead over second place with only seven games to go. richard.hamje gets the recommended pick honor for suggesting that Colorado’s new coach would make three first half subs, simply because he wanted to, and now being manager, he could.

Updated standings, with a column for both the Colorado and NYRB games. Let me know where I messed up!

Standings Match 27

Participant Total Points NYRB COL
Participant Total Points NYRB COL
STYLES34 138 6 10
UNOprivateer 117 6 7
MacVanek 116 7 0
Bosoxtjh18 115 1 7
shrekpdx 110 5 9
Schmadam08 103 5 7
Withdrawn Striker 102 11 6
GeorgeCorps17 101 0 4
TNOTTS 96 5 5
Crafty_PDX 93 0 0
Timber DT 92 6 4
richard.hamje 90 0 8
Z_thrilla 90 4 0
MindfulCyclist 87 4 9
RCTID26 84 6 5
Deschutes 83 3 6
landoid 77 5 7
MofoOG 77 4 7
my favorite axe 75 5 0
hoser!hoser! 71 0 0
Qoolio 71 0 0
Rhyanoceras 70 0 0
lefhanded49 65 2 9
Independent_Cascadia 64 0 0
Weresquatch 64 0 0
deadjeff 57 0 0
jackwiddy 56 4 7
MrMoody 55 5 5
4-5-2 54 6 6
JonMc 53 0 0
BarmyTarmy 51 0 0
straight red 51 0 4
TheChooChooChin 47 0 0
afreborg 45 0 0
Hendrik Johannes 45 0 0
PGHTimber 45 0 0
PenguinChe 44 0 0
Z-Whiz 43 0 0
dhenrichs 41 0 0
Timber Dave 38 0 0
Webfooter17 38 0 0
product_placement 36 0 0
Put-Me-In-Coach 36 0 0
Timbers Pride 36 6 7
James Bondo 31 0 0
YoBergo 30 0 0
picknroll222 26 0 0
TigardTimber 25 0 0
shenanigans 23 0 0
irisblue32 20 0 0
Tfetters 16 0 0
Walrus_Kasra 16 0 0
RCTIDnomatterwhat 15 0 0
mschofer 12 0 0
Hailfire97 10 0 0
Ibowyer 10 0 0
KzooTimbers 9 0 0
pdxsoccerdad 9 0 0
Andrew Collins 8 0 0
biggieswc 8 0 0
CubanDaywalker 8 0 0
Foggy4 8 0 0
hobbesoftheeast 8 0 0
lcpdx 8 0 0
LU_PDX 8 0 0
Hand Ride 7 0 0
Kaatmandu 7 0 0
KarlRadekBonk 7 0 0
living 7 0 0
YoYoBananas 7 0 0
Timber TKO 6 0 0
Timbersox 6 0 0
ScottyRiley 5 0 0
Jjwalker16 4 0 0
Ballast 3 0 0
BlazerTucker 3 0 0
JoeyinTimberland 3 0 0

As you hopefully know by now, on Sunday the Timbers face Seattle for the final time this regular season. As if a rivalry game wasn’t enough on its own, it’s also a chance for PTFC to win their first piece of silverware - a win would give the boys in green the Cascadia Cup. Unfortunately, that’s a hard ask. The Timbers have never won in Seattle during the regular season, and they will be missing key players in Fanendo Adi and David Guzman, not to mention the still-injured Liam Ridgewell. Can the Timbers rise to the moment, maintain their winning streak, and top Cascadia for the first time under Caleb Porter?

Over/under: 5.5 total cards

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most recommended/most outrageously accurate prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (e.g., if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination you get a total of three points - 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores assisted by Adi and Adi scores assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction - 1 goal, 1 assist)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK. Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as a FK, and a FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

Most weeks, I will reward the most recommended prediction with the 2 points. However, if someone predicts that Caleb will bring a towel to dry off Seattle’s field, and he does, they’ll probably get those two points, regardless of whether they got the recs. We’ll also be testing this out, because I want to be careful that this doesn’t end up favoring the first few people to post their prediction. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.


In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners, eg: 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person.

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: no points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.)

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction.

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry Nagbe for the first time in three years, he kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.

As always, any questions about anything?