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Rose City Forecast 31: PTFC vs Orlando

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MLS: Portland Timbers at Real Salt Lake Russ Isabella-USA TODAY Sports

Here we are at the final four matches of the season. Last week, the Timbers suffered their first loss since they fell 4-1 at Toronto over a month ago. Real Salt Lake took the lead early on with a 14th minute goal by Albert Rusnak. Valeri equalized just after half-time off a beautiful cross from Dairon Asprilla. Unfortunately, a result was not to be, as Jefferson Savarino scored something of a wonder goal in the 61st minute to make the final score 2-1 RSL.

Lefthanded 49 had the pick of the week, taking 11 points for a correct scoreline, and calling Savarino’s goal with a Rusnak assist. Landoid got the most recommended prediction for suggesting that Beckerman wears his dreadlocks to cover an unfortunate bald spot, and that he would get a yellow card for a handball when he tried to recover said bald spot after the dreadlocks got knocked awry.

To catch up from the NYCFC game, 4-5-2 had the pick of the match for being the only one to correctly call the 1-0 final scoreline. My favorite axe got the recommended pick for guessing that the Timbers would have to play around a weird mound in the middle of the pitch after the Yankee Stadium ground crews were unable to smooth out the pitcher’s mound in time for the soccer game.

The updated standings follow. As always, let me know if I messed up your points!

Standings Week 30

Participant Total Points NYCFC RSL
Participant Total Points NYCFC RSL
STYLES34 155 2 10
MacVanek 125 6 2
UNOprivateer 124 1 2
Bosoxtjh18 121 1 3
shrekpdx 120 1 3
GeorgeCorps17 110 1 3
Withdrawn Striker 108 1 2
Schmadam08 107 0 0
Z_thrilla 104 1 3
MindfulCyclist 97 2 3
TNOTTS 97 0 1
Crafty_PDX 93 0 0
RCTID26 93 4 2
richard.hamje 92 0 1
Timber DT 92 0 0
landoid 91 7 3
Deschutes 87 0 0
MofoOG 79 0 2
lefhanded49 77 1 11
my favorite axe 77 2 0
hoser!hoser! 71 0 0
Qoolio 71 0 0
Rhyanoceras 70 0 0
4-5-2 69 10 1
jackwiddy 67 4 2
Independent_Cascadia 64 0 0
Weresquatch 64 0 0
BarmyTarmy 63 5 2
MrMoody 60 4 0
straight red 58 4 3
deadjeff 57 0 0
JonMc 53 0 0
TheChooChooChin 47 0 0
afreborg 45 0 0
Hendrik Johannes 45 0 0
PGHTimber 45 0 0
PenguinChe 44 0 0
Timbers Pride 44 4 0
Z-Whiz 43 0 0
dhenrichs 41 0 0
Webfooter17 39 0 0
Timber Dave 38 0 0
product_placement 36 0 0
Put-Me-In-Coach 36 0 0
James Bondo 31 0 0
YoBergo 30 0 0
picknroll222 26 0 0
TigardTimber 25 0 0
shenanigans 23 0 0
irisblue32 20 0 0
Tfetters 16 0 0
Walrus_Kasra 16 0 0
RCTIDnomatterwhat 15 0 0
KzooTimbers 12 0 3
mschofer 12 0 0
Hailfire97 10 0 0
Ibowyer 10 0 0
pdxsoccerdad 9 0 0
Andrew Collins 8 0 0
biggieswc 8 0 0
CubanDaywalker 8 0 0
Foggy4 8 0 0
hobbesoftheeast 8 0 0
lcpdx 8 0 0
LU_PDX 8 0 0
Hand Ride 7 0 0
Kaatmandu 7 0 0
KarlRadekBonk 7 0 0
living 7 0 0
YoYoBananas 7 0 0
Timber TKO 6 0 0
Timbersox 6 0 0
ScottyRiley 5 0 0
Jjwalker16 4 0 0
Ballast 3 0 0
BlazerTucker 3 0 0
JoeyinTimberland 3 0 0
papoy1 1 0 1

On Sunday, the Timbers return home from their three-game road trip to face the mostly hapless Orlando City FC. It’s mostly hapless because in their past couple games, Orlando has shown some vibrancy, especially last week when they fought to a 3-3 draw on the road against Atlanta. PTFC have only lost three times since June, however, and the two most recent were on the road. As the team starts getting players back (Adi might make an appearance off the bench), they should be able to offer some home cooking and take three points. But sometimes the match doesn’t play the way it should. Will the Timbers take care of business?

Over/under: 3.5 total cards

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most recommended/most outrageously accurate prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (e.g., if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination you get a total of three points - 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores assisted by Adi and Adi scores assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction - 1 goal, 1 assist)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK. Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as a FK, and a FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

Most weeks, I will reward the most recommended prediction with the 2 points. However, if someone predicts that Caleb will bring a towel to dry off Seattle’s field, and he does, they’ll probably get those two points, regardless of whether they got the recs. We’ll also be testing this out, because I want to be careful that this doesn’t end up favoring the first few people to post their prediction. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.

Format:

In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners, eg: 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person.

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: no points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.)

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction.

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry Nagbe for the first time in three years, he kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.

As always, any questions about anything?