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Rose City Forecast 29: NYCFC vs PTFC

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MLS: New York City FC at Portland Timbers Scott Olmos-USA TODAY Sports

Almost two weeks ago, you may remember that the Timbers traveled north to Seattle and came away with a 1-1 draw. The Sounders got the first goal when Cristian Roldan finished up a sequence of pinball in the Timbers box. PTFC would respond just before half time when Valeri launched a perfect through-ball to Darren Mattocks who was fouled in the box. Valeri finished the PK with aplomb to take a 1-1 scoreline into halftime, and the match remained knotted for the remainder.

Z_thrilla was the only one to correctly predict the scoreline, and thus takes home the prediction of the week, earning ten points. Though it would’ve been more fun to type before the recent news, Deschutes gets the most recommended pick for suggesting that Will Johnson would join the Timbers Army in the stands for a rousing ‘F—K Seattle’ chant.

And the standings follow. Be sure to tell me if I made a mistake!

Standings Match 28

Participant Total Points Weekly
Participant Total Points Weekly
STYLES34 143 5
UNOprivateer 121 4
Bosoxtjh18 117 2
MacVanek 117 1
shrekpdx 116 6
Schmadam08 107 4
GeorgeCorps17 106 5
Withdrawn Striker 105 3
Z_thrilla 100 10
TNOTTS 96 0
Crafty_PDX 93 0
MindfulCyclist 92 5
Timber DT 92 0
richard.hamje 91 1
Deschutes 87 4
RCTID26 87 3
landoid 81 4
MofoOG 77 0
my favorite axe 75 0
hoser!hoser! 71 0
Qoolio 71 0
Rhyanoceras 70 0
lefhanded49 65 0
Independent_Cascadia 64 0
Weresquatch 64 0
jackwiddy 61 5
4-5-2 58 4
deadjeff 57 0
BarmyTarmy 56 5
MrMoody 56 1
JonMc 53 0
straight red 51 0
TheChooChooChin 47 0
afreborg 45 0
Hendrik Johannes 45 0
PGHTimber 45 0
PenguinChe 44 0
Z-Whiz 43 0
dhenrichs 41 0
Timbers Pride 40 4
Webfooter17 39 1
Timber Dave 38 0
product_placement 36 0
Put-Me-In-Coach 36 0
James Bondo 31 0
YoBergo 30 0
picknroll222 26 0
TigardTimber 25 0

After the FIFA break, the Timbers start a two game road trip with a visit to the Big Apple to take on NYCFC, the team currently second in the Supporter’s Shield race. NYC is coming off a midweek win against the Timbers’ western conference foes SKC, and already has 50 points on the season. NYCFC has played fourteen home games so far and have ten wins while losing only once. Any result at all will be an accomplishment for the Timbers, who were embarrassed by TFC on their last trip east. Will the boys in green manage a result and make their way closer to playoff qualification?

Over/under: 3.5 total cards

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most recommended/most outrageously accurate prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (e.g., if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination you get a total of three points - 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores assisted by Adi and Adi scores assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction - 1 goal, 1 assist)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK. Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as a FK, and a FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

Most weeks, I will reward the most recommended prediction with the 2 points. However, if someone predicts that Caleb will bring a towel to dry off Seattle’s field, and he does, they’ll probably get those two points, regardless of whether they got the recs. We’ll also be testing this out, because I want to be careful that this doesn’t end up favoring the first few people to post their prediction. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.

Format:

In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners, eg: 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person.

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: no points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.)

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction.

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry Nagbe for the first time in three years, he kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.

As always, any questions about anything?