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Rose City Forecast 27: Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids

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MLS: Portland Timbers at Colorado Rapids Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome back to the Portland Timbers Prediction Thread!

After playing for the midweek win, coach Gio Savarese left a few key players in Portland for some much needed rest while the rest of the team flew to Boston to face the New England Revolution. Between the secondary squad, the cross country travel, and third game in seven days, it looked like Portland was playing for a draw, and that’s what they got as Lawrence Olum redirected a deflected corner kick to cancel a New England goal from Scott Caldwell. It was the Timbers’ only shot on goal, so good thing it went in.

BarmyTarmy, MofoOG, and STYLES34 all take the pick of the week with nine points each - eight from calling a 1-1 scoreline, plus respectively, one from Guzman’s assist, more than four cards, and New England’s unassisted goal. jocked07 gets the bonus points this week for suggesting that the TV broadcast might cut away to show dos Diegos discussing the game back in Portland, only to time it so that they’re busy booing and yelling at the referee. And I just appreciate the idea that when they can’t argue calls on the field, Diego Chara and Diego Valeri are just like the rest of us, left to direct their displeasure at the TV.

A perfect prediction would have earned 17 points:

1-1

Lawrence Olum (David Guzman OR Julio Cascante)

Scott Caldwell (unassisted)

First yellow card to Sebastian Blanco

Over on total cards.

Standings Match 26

Participant Total Points Match
Participant Total Points Match
MindfulCyclist 123 8
MofoOG 120 9
Timbers Pride 120 3
UNOprivateer 108 0
STYLES34 100 9
lefthanded49 88 0
MacVanek 88 1
BarmyTarmy 86 9
jocked07 81 4
shrekpdx 78 0
landoid 74 0
Richard Hamje 73 1
straight red 71 0
MrMoody 70 0
GeorgeCorps17 68 1
RCTID26 58 0
4-5-2 54 0
hoser!hoser! 54 0
LampzTheLegend 52 1
aljames 48 1
CubanDaywalker 36 0
oregonvania 28 0
jackwiddy 27 0
OwenGail 25 0
Timber DT 21 0
Z_thrilla 15 0
webfootking 12 0
Withdrawn Striker 11 0
Matthew Hoffman 10 0
shamman 10 0

This weekend the Timbers are back home in Portland to host the Colorado Rapids. While Colorado is not the worst team in the west (that’s San Jose), they’re not very good. With just 24 points, they are earning less than 1.0 ppg. They average less than one goal per game when they’re on the road. They have only six wins all year. Looking at the two teams, this is a game the Timbers should win if they plan to make the post season. That said, two of Colorado’s wins have come in their last six games, which is one more than the Timbers have in the same span. And it’s MLS, so week-to-week, a bad team can certainly beat a better team. Will the Timbers be able to stay focused and take the necessary three points?

Total Cards O/U: 4.5

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards, but you may predict up to 3 players with a red.)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most outrageous(ly accurate) prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (For example, if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination, you get a total of three points: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores, assisted by Adi, and Adi scores, assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction: 1 goal, 1 assist.)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK: Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as an FK, and an FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

For the most outrageous(ly accurate) prediction, I will be trying to toe a line between completely absurd and mundane in my choices. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous. So, in my mind, the best predictions will be something that could conceivably happen, but don’t happen often, like amusing coaching spats or goals that bounce off the crossbar, then off the keeper’s back, and then in. Things like that.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.

Format:

In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners; for example, 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person:

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: No points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.):

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction:

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry, Nagbe, for the first time in three years, kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.