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Rose City Forecast 15: Montreal Impact vs Portland Timbers

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MLS: Montreal Impact at Portland Timbers Jaime Valdez-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome back to the Forecast for a mid-week match!

On Saturday, the Portland Timbers ran roughshod over a depleted Houston Dynamo side to the tune of four goals to nil. Brian Fernandez had his eighth goal across six games (all competitions), and Diego Valeri earned Player of the Week honors after burying a PK and assisting on the three other goals. On top of that, Marvin Loria made his MLS debut and grabbed a Goal of the Week nomination with his efforts. For the last goal, Jeremy Ebobisse got back on the score sheet with a shot that might have earned a Goal of the Week nomination if only it hadn’t been outshone by Loria’s effort.

As is fairly normal for midweek matches, I don’t have standings updated or ready to go, so look forward to those before Sunday’s match.

Despite having the majority of their remaining games at home, the Timbers are traveling once again for a Wednesday night match in Canada. In many ways, this is one of the more challenging games left for the Timbers. It being a midweek trans-continental match is challenge enough, but the Timbers also have to figure out how much they want to rotate the squad as they look ahead to the weekend when they face FC Dallas, one of their chief rivals for a playoff spot. Will the Timbers go for their best players with tired legs or will they take the kids and hope that the youth can get a result against a Montreal side that is currently sitting second in the East?

Total Cards O/U: 3.5

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards, but you may predict up to 3 players with a red.)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kickoff to account for game day 18 announcements. I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last few years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (For example, if Blanco scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination, you get a total of three points: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus.)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK: Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as an FK, and an FK as a PK. Just like predicting a player assist, you earn an assist point if you correctly predict an unassisted or free kick goal. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.

Format:

In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners; for example, 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Blanco (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Ebo (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Graham Zusi (Free kick)

Krisztian Nemeth (Johnny Russel)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person:

First yellow to Matt Besler

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: No points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.):

Roger Espinoza gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!