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SFPI MLS Power Rankings Week 33

What the Hell Just Happened? Edition

MLS: Sporting KC at Houston Dynamo Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

A short week that went almost perfectly for Portland, less so for the USMNT. Massive questions face the Nats as they failed to qualify for the World Cup for the first time since 1986.

But plus side, we don't lose Nagbe for 3 weeks next summer, although that means he may never make a World Cup, which is devastating for him. Besides who wanted to wake up at 2am to watch them get bounced after the group stage anyway? The SFPI is firmly Club>Country

Anyway, on to the rankings! Not a ton of movement as only 4 games were played


COMPONENTS OF SFPI

PERFORMANCE SCORE: 100% determined by play on the field is made up of the following

PPG Score: Overall Points Per Game added to PPG over last five, with last five given more weight. Single largest component of SFPI

Goal Difference Per Game: Overall GD divided by games played.

Home/Away Bonus: Bonus points awarded for earning results (W/D) on the road, equal number of points subtracted for dropping results (D/L) at home. Accrues over entire season

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE

Average Performance Score of all teams faced to date. Accounts for road games by adding a percentage of a teams Home PPG to performance score for that match. Teams faced multiple times are counted multiple times. Weighted at less than 100%


x-Clinched Supporters Shield

* Above Red Line

** Clinched Playoff spot


1 xTORONTO FC (65pts 19W-5L-8D) SCORE: 11.6416 PREV: 1 (NC) H1/L10

CONSECUTIVE WEEKS AT #1: 12 SCHEDULE: 17

REMAINING SCHEDULE: 9 GAMES REMAINING: 2 OVERALL PACE: 69

THIS WEEK: vs Montreal


2 **ATLANTA UNITED (53pts 15W-9L-8D) SCORE: 9.0767 PREV: 2 (NC) H2/L12

SCHEDULE: 21 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 1 GAMES REMAINING 2

OVERALL PACE: 56

LAST WEEK: L 3-2 vs Minnesota THIS WEEK: at New York RB


3 **NEW YORK CITY FC (56pts 16W-8L-8D) SCORE: 8.6217 PREV: 3 (NC) H2/L12

SCHEDULE: 12 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 12 GAMES REMAINING 2

OVERALL PACE: 59

THIS WEEK: at New England


4 **COLUMBUS CREW (50pts 15W-12L-5D) SCORE: 8.5959 PREV: 4 (NC) H1/L16

SCHEDULE: 7 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 4 GAMES REMAINING: 2

OVERALL PACE: 53

THIS WEEK: at Orlando


5 **CHICAGO FIRE (52pts 15W-10L-7D) SCORE: 8.426 PREV: 5 (NC) H1/L14

SCHEDULE: 10 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 16 GAMES REMAINING: 2

OVERALL PACE: 55

THIS WEEK: vs Philadelphia


6 *SPORTING KANSAS CITY (48pts 12W-7L-12D) SCORE: 7.6091 PREV: 8 (+2) H2/L11

SCHEDULE: 19 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 10 GAMES REMAINING 3

OVERALL PACE: 52

LAST WEEK: D 1-1 at Minnesota THIS WEEK: at Houston, vs Houston


7 **VANCOUVER WHITECAPS (51pts 15W-11L-6D) SCORE: 7.4066 PREV: 6 (-1) H3/L22

SCHEDULE: 18 REMAINING SCHEDULE 11 GAMES REMAINING 2

OVERALL PACE: 54

LAST WEEK: L 3-0 at New York RB THIS WEEK: vs San Jose


8 *PORTLAND TIMBERS (47pts 13W-11L-8D) SCORE: 7.3395 PREV: 7 (-1) H1/L17

SCHEDULE: 14 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 19 GAMES REMAINING: 2

OVERALL PACE: 49

THIS WEEK: vs DC United


9 *SEATTLE SOUNDERS (47pts 12W-9L-11D) SCORE: 6.8731 PREV: 9 (NC) H3/L17

SCHEDULE: 15 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 21 GAMES REMAINING: 2

OVERALL PACE: 49

THIS WEEK: vs Dallas


10 **NEW YORK RED BULLS (46pts 13W-12L-7D) SCORE: 6.4267 PREV: 13 (+3) H6/L19

SCHEDULE: 8 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 15 GAMES REMAINING 2

OVERALL PACE: 48

LAST WEEK: W 3-0 vs Vancouver THIS WEEK: vs Atlanta


11 REAL SALT LAKE (42pts 12W-14L-6D) SCORE: 6.2564 PREV: 10 (-1) H9/L22

SCHEDULE: 20 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 18 GAMES REMAINING: 2

OVERALL PACE: 44

THIS WEEK: at Colorado


12 *FC DALLAS (43pts 10W-9L-13D) SCORE: 6.1176 PREV: 11 (-1) H1/L16

SCHEDULE: 13 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 20 GAMES REMAINING 2

OVERALL PACE: 45

LAST WEEK: D 1-1 at Colorado THIS WEEK: at Seattle


13 *HOUSTON DYNAMO (43pts 11W-10L-10D) SCORE: 5.8095 PREV: 12 (-1) H4/L17

SCHEDULE: 22 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 2 GAMES REMAINING 3

OVERALL PACE: 47

THIS WEEK: vs Kansas City, at Kansas City


14 ORLANDO CITY SC (39pts 10W-13L-9D) SCORE: 5.6005 PREV: 14 (NC) H2/L19

SCHEDULE: 4 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 7 GAMES REMAINING: 2

OVERALL PACE: 41 THIS WEEK: vs Columbus


15 PHILADELPHIA UNION (39pts 10W-13L-9D) SCORE: 5.214 PREV: 15 (NC) H6/L22

SCHEDULE: 11 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 6 GAMES REMAINING 2

OVERALL PACE 41 THIS WEEK: at Chicago


16 SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES (42pts 12W-14L-6D) SCORE: 4.813 PREV: 16 (NC) H5/L17

SCHEDULE: 16 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 13 GAMES REMAINING: 2

OVERALL PACE: 44 THIS WEEK: at Vancouver


17 MINNESOTA UNITED (36pts 10W-16L-6D) SCORE: 4.6347 PREV: 19 (+2) H17/L22

SCHEDULE: 5 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 22 GAMES REMAINING: 2

OVERALL PACE: 38 THIS WEEK: at Los Angeles


18 NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION (39pts 11W-15L-6D) SCORE: 4.3019 PREV: 17 (-1) H5/L18

SCHEDULE: 1 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 14 GAMES REMAINING: 2

OVERALL PACE: 41 THIS WEEK: vs New York City


19 MONTREAL IMPACT (39pts 11W-15L-6D) SCORE: 3.6466 PREV: 18 (-1) H6/L19

SCHEDULE: 3 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 3 GAMES REMAINING: 2

OVERALL PACE: 41 THIS WEEK: at Toronto


20 DC UNITED (32pts 9W-18L-5D) SCORE: 2.3549 PREV: 21 (+1) H8/L22

SCHEDULE: 2 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 5 GAMES REMAINING 2

OVERALL PACE: 34 THIS WEEK: at Portland


21 COLORADO RAPIDS (30pts 8W-18L-6D) SCORE: 2.3468 PREV: 20 (-1) H17/L22

SCHEDULE 9 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 8 GAMES REMAINING: 2

OVERALL PACE: 31

LAST WEEK: D 1-1 vs Dallas THIS WEEK: vs Salt Lake


22 LOS ANGELES GALAXY (29pts 7W-17L-8D) SCORE: 1.3994 PREV: 22 (NC) H3/L22

SCHEDULE: 6 REMAINING SCHEDULE: 17 GAMES REMAINING 2

OVERALL PACE: 30 THIS WEEK: vs Minnesota


PREDICTIONS

Last week the SFPI went 0-4 (0%) for its second oh-fer of the year (which was also a 4 game international weekend) bringing the Season total to 127-170 (42.76%). And with 23 games left in the season will be unable to reach .500 for the year, but 40% when each match has 3 outcomes isn't that bad.


Kansas City at Houston: DRAW

Philadelphia at Chicago: CHICAGO

New York City at New England: NEW YORK

Atlanta at New York RB: DRAW

Columbus at Orlando: COLUMBUS

Montreal at Toronto: TORONTO

Salt Lake at Colorado: SALT LAKE

Houston at Kansas City: KANSAS CITY

Minnesota at Los Angeles: MINNESOTA

Dallas at Seattle: SEATTLE

San Jose at Vancouver: VANCOUVER

DC at Portland: PORTLAND


PLAYOFF PICTURE:

If predictions are 100% what will tables look like?

The East is more or less set as 6 teams have clinched, the only question is who gets what spot.

The West will clear up, but is still a jumbled mess and will likely come down to Decision Day


(x-clinched Supporters Shield *Clinched Playoff **Clinched home game ***Clinched Bye #Eliminated) (Max points)

EAST

1 xTORONTO 68 (71)

2 **NEW YORK CITY 59 (62)

3 *CHICAGO 55 (58)

4 *ATLANTA 54 (57)

5 *COLUMBUS 53 (56)

6 *NEW YORK RB 47 (50)

--------------

7 #MONTREAL 39 (GD) (42)

8 #NEW ENGLAND 39 (TOTAL WINS) (42)

9 #PHILADELPHIA (GD) 39 (42)

10 #ORLANDO 39 (42)

11 # DC 32 (35)


WEST

1 ***VANCOUVER 54 (57)

2 **KANSAS CITY 52 (55)

3 **PORTLAND 50 (TOTAL WINS) (53)

4 **SEATTLE 50 (53)

5 SALT LAKE 45 (48)

6 HOUSTON 44 (47)

-----------------

7 DALLAS 43 (46)

8 SAN JOSE 42 (45)

9 #MINNESOTA 39 (42)

10 #COLORADO 30 (33)

11 #LOS ANGELES 29 (32)


TIMBERS ROOTING INTEREST:

Assuming a Timbers win how should we root?

With a win Portland will clinch a playoff spot, if they win out they can finish no worse than 3rd.

With a Loss or a Draw Portland will need both RSL and San Jose to lose or draw in order to clinch and that would eliminate any chance of getting a bye, let alone the number 1 seed in the West.


Kansas City at Houston: DRAW Portland needs SKC to drop points in order to catch them, but would like to see Houston drop points as well so can put them out of reach


Salt Lake at Colorado: COLORADO with RSL surging they are not a team that one wants to face in a knockout game, and as 3rd place is likely for Portland and 6th is likely for RSL that would bring them to Providence Park, and we all remember what happened last time they came to town


Houston at Kansas City: DRAW see first matchup, plus this would ensure (assuming they draw round 1) that not only Portland would be out of reach of Houston, they would be tied on points with SKC with the total wins tiebreaker at 14-12 meaning they would only need to match SKCs result to finish ahead of them on decision day


Minnesota at Los Angeles: MINNESOTA because why not, let the Loons salvage something from this season, and watch as LA continues to implode


Dallas at Seattle: DALLAS if Portland wins then Dallas cant catch them, it would also ensure that even if Portland lost on decision day and Seattle won that they would still finish ahead of Seattle thanks to the Total wins tiebreaker (which would be 14-13)


San Jose at Vancouver: DRAW while a San Jose Win would leave Portland only 1 point behind heading into their match with Vancouver to end the season, a draw leaves them 2 behind so can still catch with a W and would all but eliminate the Quakes from playoffs.


How would the table look?

(*clinched playoff **clinched home game ***Clinched Bye #Eliminated) (Max Points)

1 ***VANCOUVER 52 (55)

2 **PORTLAND 50 (TOTAL WINS) (53)

3 **KANSAS CITY 50 (53)

4 *SEATTLE 47 (50)

5 DALLAS 46 (49)

6 HOUSTON 45 (48)

---------------

7 SAN JOSE 43 (46)

8 SALT LAKE 42 (45) (Still technically alive as they would have Total Wins tiebreaker over Houston)

9 #MINNESOTA 39 (42)

10 #COLORADO 33 (36)

11 #LOS ANGELES 29 (32)