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Rose City Forecast 11: PTFC vs Atlanta

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MLS: Portland Timbers at San Jose Earthquakes John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports

Last week did not go well. If you missed it, lucky you. All the recap you get is that the Timbers lost. Badly. In that vein, there weren’t a whole lot of points ‘round the prediction thread, though picknroll222 did predict a Timbers shutout loss, and takes pick of the week for that.

A whole host of you got two recommendations for your odd predictions, which means I got to play tiebreaker. Congrats to Schmadam08 on their prediction that Wondo’s miss from the 2014 World Cup would return to Earth, landing like a meteor among the San Jose ‘Ultras’, causing Wondo’s retirement. You take the two points.

As always, if I messed up the standings, please let me know!

Forecast Standings Week 10

Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Crafty_PDX 58 2
Independent_Cascadia 57 2
Z_thrilla 55 0
MacVanek 53 2
STYLES34 53 2
Bosoxtjh18 51 4
Rhyanoceras 49 2
Schmadam08 49 3
JonMc 48 1
RCTID26 48 2
Qoolio 47 1
richard.hamje 47 2
Hendrik Johannes 45 1
PGHTimber 45 1
shrekpdx 45 1
TNOTTS 45 0
Weresquatch 45 0
PenguinChe 44 2
Timber DT 44 1
afreborg 40 2
dhenrichs 40 1
TheChooChooChin 39 1
hoser!hoser! 38 1
Timber Dave 38 0
Withdrawn Striker 38 0
MofoOG 37 1
UNOprivateer 37 2
Z-Whiz 37 2
Put-Me-In-Coach 36 1
BarmyTarmy 35 1
Deschutes 35 2
GeorgeCorps17 35 1
MindfulCyclist 35 2
MrMoody 34 0
deadjeff 32 0
James Bondo 31 1
YoBergo 30 0
landoid 28 1
lefhanded49 25 1
TigardTimber 25 0
my favorite axe 24 0
Webfooter17 24 0
shenanigans 23 0
4-5-2 21 2
product_placement 21 2
irisblue32 20 0
picknroll222 16 6
Tfetters 16 0
Walrus_Kasra 16 0
RCTIDnomatterwhat 15 0
mschofer 12 0
Hailfire97 10 0
Ibowyer 10 0
pdxsoccerdad 9 0
Andrew Collins 8 0
biggieswc 8 0
CubanDaywalker 8 0
Foggy4 8 0
hobbesoftheeast 8 0
lcpdx 8 0
LU_PDX 8 0
Hand Ride 7 0
Kaatmandu 7 0
KarlRadekBonk 7 0
living 7 0
YoYoBananas 7 0
straight red 6 0
Timbersox 6 0
Timber TKO 6 0
ScottyRiley 5 0
Jjwalker16 4 0
Ballast 3 0
BlazerTucker 3 0
jackwiddy 3 1
JoeyinTimberland 3 0
KzooTimbers 0 0

The Timbers return home for a nationally televised match against expansion club Atlanta United this Sunday. Atlanta has kept pace with the Timbers scoring through the season, but their overall record is significantly worse. However, they’ve played six of nine games on the road, and come away with a result in four of those matches, so they may not be a pushover. In a blow to their chances, they will be without Josef Martinez, one of their more prolific players. On the other hand, PTFC gets its heart and soul back as Valeri is expected to return to the lineup after missing the last two matches with injury. Can the Timbers keep racking up points and come away with a needed win?

Over/under: 3.5 total cards

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most recommended/most outrageously accurate prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. Though I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (e.g., if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination you get a total of three points - 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores assisted by Adi and Adi scores assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction - 1 goal, 1 assist)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK. Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as a FK, and a FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

Most weeks, I will reward the most recommended prediction with the 2 points. However, if someone predicts that Caleb will bring a towel to dry off Seattle’s field, and he does, they’ll probably get those two points, regardless of whether they got the recs. We’ll also be testing this out, because I want to be careful that this doesn’t end up favoring the first few people to post their prediction. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.

Format:

In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners, eg: 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person.

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: no points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.)

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction.

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry Nagbe for the first time in three years, he kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.

As always, any questions about anything?