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Rose City Forecast 15: PTFC vs FC Dallas

MLS: Portland Timbers at FC Dallas Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

We’ve now reached week 15 of the MLS season, and so welcome to the fifteenth forecast. Last week, the Timbers managed to end their winless streak with a 2-0 win against the visiting San Jose Earthquakes. Despite San Jose going down a man in the 37th minute after Darwin Ceren received two yellows in less than two minutes, the Timbers would not capitalize until after halftime when Valeri got on the end of a ball from Zarek Valentin. The rest of the second half remained nervy as the Timbers couldn’t find their second until late in stoppage time, when Fanendo Adi pinged the post and Valeri buried the rebound. With that result, the Timbers sit in fourth place in the west with a game in hand on two of the teams ahead.

hoser!hoser! takes home prediction of the week after earning 12 points for predicting the scoreline, a Valeri goal, and over on cards. Most recommended pick goes to straight red for his suggestion that covfefe, of Trump’s Twitter fame, would earn a yellow card in the match.

As always, let me know if I missed some points!

Forecast Standings Game 14

Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Participant Total Points Weekly Points
Bosoxtjh18 72 4
Z_thrilla 69 11
Crafty_PDX 67 4
STYLES34 65 5
Independent_Cascadia 64 1
hoser!hoser! 61 12
MacVanek 60 4
RCTID26 59 4
Schmadam08 59 4
Qoolio 57 5
Rhyanoceras 56 0
Weresquatch 55 4
deadjeff 52 10
shrekpdx 52 3
GeorgeCorps17 51 10
JonMc 50 0
richard.hamje 50 1
Timber DT 50 3
MofoOG 48 7
UNOprivateer 46 4
Hendrik Johannes 45 0
MindfulCyclist 45 1
PGHTimber 45 0
TheChooChooChin 45 6
Withdrawn Striker 45 4
PenguinChe 44 0
afreborg 43 0
Z-Whiz 43 0
landoid 42 5
Deschutes 41 0
dhenrichs 41 0
BarmyTarmy 39 1
MrMoody 38 3
Timber Dave 38 0
Webfooter17 38 10
Put-Me-In-Coach 36 0
my favorite axe 33 5
lefhanded49 32 0
James Bondo 31 0
YoBergo 30 0
4-5-2 28 5
product_placement 26 3
TigardTimber 25 0
picknroll222 23 6
shenanigans 23 0
irisblue32 20 0
straight red 19 4
Tfetters 16 0
Walrus_Kasra 16 0
RCTIDnomatterwhat 15 0
jackwiddy 13 5
mschofer 12 0
Hailfire97 10 0
Ibowyer 10 0
pdxsoccerdad 9 0
Andrew Collins 8 0
biggieswc 8 0
CubanDaywalker 8 0
Foggy4 8 0
hobbesoftheeast 8 0
lcpdx 8 0
LU_PDX 8 0
Hand Ride 7 0
Kaatmandu 7 0
KarlRadekBonk 7 0
living 7 0
YoYoBananas 7 0
Timbersox 6 0
Timber TKO 6 0
ScottyRiley 5 0
Jjwalker16 4 0
Ballast 3 0
BlazerTucker 3 0
JoeyinTimberland 3 0
KzooTimbers 0 0

After a much needed win to steady their footing, PTFC stays at home this week to play against FC Dallas, who sit two points ahead in the table with one game played. A win could see the Timbers as high as second in the west, while a draw would probably be enough to hold steady. Both teams come into the match missing players on international duty, and both come in with their recent form rather shakier than it had been early in the season, as each has only one win in their last five. For both clubs, that win came last weekend. Will either team be able to start a winning streak, or will they share points in a draw?

Over/under: 3.5 total cards

The Scoring Format:

  • Correct score: 5 points
  • Correct result (draw/win/loss): 3 points
  • Each clean sheet: 2 points
  • Each goal-scorer: 1 point
  • Each FK/PK/assist/lack of assist: 1 point
  • Goal/assist bonus: 1 point
  • Player with the first yellow card of the match: 1 point
  • Each player with a red card: 1 point (Cannot earn points for predicting 0 red cards)
  • Over/under on total cards: 1 point
  • Most recommended/most outrageously accurate prediction: 2 points

Some ground rules and explanations/clarifications (the fine print):

You may amend your prediction at any point up to kick off to account for game day 18 announcements. Though I recommend at least getting an initial prediction sooner, just in case you forget to come back in that hour or two before the game.

Keep your scoreline predictions realistic. Basically, if you’re predicting lots of goals all the time to just earn points on goals and assists and ignoring the score, I feel that goes against the spirit of this thread. This hasn’t been at all a problem in the last two years, so let’s keep it that way!

The goal/assist bonus is an additional point if you correctly get the correct scorer and assistant on the same goal. (e.g., if Nagbe scores, assisted by Valeri, and you predicted that exact combination you get a total of three points - 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 bonus. However, if you predicted Nagbe scores assisted by Adi and Adi scores assisted by Valeri, you would get two points from the Nagbe/Valeri prediction - 1 goal, 1 assist)

Please be clear whether you think a goal will be unassisted, assisted, or from a PK/FK. Unassisted = no assist, run of play; Assisted = player who got the assist; PK/FK = directly from a free kick. For the purposes of this thread, a PK counts as a FK, and a FK as a PK. If you just leave the assist section blank, I will assume you’re declining to make an assist prediction.

Even though a player can be awarded a secondary assist by OPTA, I will award a maximum of one assist point per goal. But that point can come from either the primary or secondary assist in the box score. However, please keep your predictions to one assist per goal.

For the over/under on cards, a second yellow leading to a red counts as two cards, not three.

You may predict more than one red card if you’re expecting a chippy match, but only up to three total.

Most weeks, I will reward the most recommended prediction with the 2 points. However, if someone predicts that Caleb will bring a towel to dry off Seattle’s field, and he does, they’ll probably get those two points, regardless of whether they got the recs. We’ll also be testing this out, because I want to be careful that this doesn’t end up favoring the first few people to post their prediction. As I see it, the goal here is to add even more fun without going too over-the-top ridiculous.

If you’re looking for where I set the over/under on total cards, check the end of the preview paragraph after the standings.


In the comment title, post your predicted score with the winners, eg: 4-2 Timbers

In the body of your comment, start with the goals and assists, like so:

Nagbe (Valeri)

Valeri (Free kick)

Adi (PK)

Blanco (Unassisted)

Beckham (Free kick)

Donovan (Beckham)

Next, choose your first yellow card, and that means picking only one person.

First yellow to Nigel De Jong

Then reds, if any. (NOTE: no points awarded for correctly calling a red-card-free match, so take a guess.)

Nigel De Jong gets a red card for stomping Blanco.

Clearly note whether you’re predicting over or under on total cards. Don’t leave me to try and figure it out!

And lastly, make your fun prediction.

Nigel de Jong tries to stomp Nagbe’s ankle again, but this time, Nagbe avoids the tackle. Being angry Nagbe for the first time in three years, he kicks the ball straight into NDJ’s groin. Camera pans to a trademark Chara smile.

As always, any questions about anything?